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NBA Top Shot · Pack #8532

WNBA Top Shot This: Caitlin Clark

Fandom

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Value still sealed≈ $3.43/pack▼ 79% below the $16.22 secondary ask· EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historicalTypical pull ≈ $3.43 · value evenly spread

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$16.22] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

1,376

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

1,376

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$7,114

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$5.17

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

375

still unopened

EV reality check

Modeled $3.43/packvs realized $62.98 avg · $0.00 median · $25.26 p90(18.36×)

Calibrated estimate $4.68/packmodel blended toward observed pulls

Model under-values vs actual pulls · 12 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Caitlin Clark · WNBA Top Shot This	FANDOM	100.00%	$2.50	100.0%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Median $17.00 (90d)Last $15.00 · 2d agoRetail $16.00565 sales · 56 in 90d

trades ~1.06× retail

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$16.22

Actual EV

$3.43

Net −$12.79 vs ask · EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical

Typical Pull

$3.43

Median pull ≈ Actual EV — value evenly spread

Value ratio

0.21x

-78.9% margin · EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical

FMV coverage

100%

1 editions

Depletion

75%

pool · as of 25d ago

Packs remaining

430

of 1,755 minted · as of 25d ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 25d ago

25%unopened

430 / 1,755 packs

Fandom387 / 1,755 (22%)

Pull odds by tier

per pack · as of 25d ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Fandom	387 / 1,755	100%	—

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across the slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 1 of 1 (100%)

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

Top purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@DroidDoes	$36.00	100d ago
@DroidDoes	$36.00	100d ago
@DroidDoes	$35.00	100d ago
@DroidDoes	$35.00	100d ago
@cardaficionado	$35.00	100d ago
@cardaficionado	$35.00	100d ago
@cardaficionado	$35.00	100d ago
@cardaficionado	$35.00	100d ago
@cardaficionado	$35.00	100d ago
@UpUpCrypto	$34.00	98d ago

Recent purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@Da_Kid2034	$16.00	9d ago
@Da_Kid2034	$15.00	9d ago
@TommyG2k3	$16.22	17d ago
@TommyG2k3	$16.00	17d ago

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of 1

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Caitlin Clark	WNBA Top Shot This	FANDOM	0.21%	$2.50	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/28/2026, 2:31:13 AM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.