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NBA Top Shot · Pack #8590
2026 Stress Test Pack 4
Common
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$13.37
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.20 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 93% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $13.37 ask
Typical Pull
$0.17
Grail premium $1.03 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 93% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $13.37 ask
FMV coverage
100%
107 editions
Depletion
93%
pool · as of 11h ago
Packs remaining
74
of 1,000 minted · as of 11h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 11h ago7.4%unopened
Legendary1 / 4 (25%)
1.4 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.40 · 3.4× launch rate
Rare8 / 99 (8.1%)
11 per 100 sealed packs · launch 9.9 · ≈ launch rate
Common213 / 2,897 (7.4%)
Pull odds by tier
per pack · as of 11h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 1 / 4 | 0.5% | — |
| Rare | 8 / 99 | 3.6% | — |
| Common | 213 / 2,897 | 96% | — |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across the slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 107 of 107 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Mario Elie
3 Pointer · May 20, 1995
Run It Back: Playoff Classics
LEGENDARYSeries 2025-26Galactic
FMV
$125
Recent Low
$139
Mint 5
Hit 0.45%Wt 0.005
Jeremiah Fears
Layup · Dec 15, 2025
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$32.00
Recent Low
$24.00
Mint 129
Hit 0.45%Wt 0.005
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · Dec 7, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$13.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 3,999
Hit 0.45%Wt 0.005
Alexandre Sarr
Dunk · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.45%Wt 0.005
Donovan Mitchell
Layup · Nov 6, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$6.99
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.45%Wt 0.005
Jalen Duren
Dunk · Feb 22, 2025
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.45
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.45%Wt 0.005
John Collins
Dunk · Dec 14, 2024
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.99
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.45%Wt 0.005
Max Strus
3 Pointer · Mar 27, 2026
Heat Check
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.45%Wt 0.005
Kawhi Leonard
Jump Shot · Apr 22, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.45%Wt 0.005
Jaden McDaniels
Block · Mar 5, 2025
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.45%Wt 0.005
Lauri Markkanen
Dunk · Feb 4, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26Club Collection
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.45%Wt 0.005
Kyle Kuzma
Layup · Nov 1, 2025
Heat Check
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.45%Wt 0.005
Dylan Cardwell
Dunk · Oct 23, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.45%Wt 0.005
Javon Small
Block · Oct 23, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$2.99
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.45%Wt 0.005
LeBron James
Assist · Dec 19, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Torn
FMV
$1.70
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.45%Wt 0.005
Taelon Peter
3 Pointer · Oct 23, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$1.60
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.45%Wt 0.005
Jake LaRavia
Dunk · Apr 1, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26Club Collection
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
—
Mint 99
Hit 0.45%Wt 0.005
Alex Reese
Dunk · Mar 23, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.59
Recent Low
$0.36
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.90%Wt 0.009
Max Strus
3 Pointer · Mar 15, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.25%Wt 0.023
Xavier Tillman
Block · Apr 3, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.25%Wt 0.023
Isaiah Hartenstein
Block · Nov 24, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.70%Wt 0.027
Jonathan Kuminga
Dunk · Feb 27, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.70%Wt 0.027
Jordan McLaughlin
Steal · Nov 8, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.25%Wt 0.023
Dennis Schröder
Layup · Apr 7, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.15
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.15%Wt 0.032