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NBA Top Shot · Pack #8609
The National 2026: Exclusive Drop
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$49.95
Actual EV
—
≈ $15.29 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 96% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $49.95 ask
Typical Pull
$0.87
Grail premium $14.42 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 96% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $49.95 ask
FMV coverage
100%
59 editions
Depletion
96%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
37
of 1,000 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago3.7%unopened
Legendary0 / 13 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 1.3
Rare7 / 170 (4.1%)
19 per 100 sealed packs · launch 17 · 1.1× launch rate
Fandom7 / 120 (5.8%)
Common97 / 2,697 (3.6%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 13 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 7 / 170 | 6.3% | ~1 in 6 |
| Fandom | 7 / 120 | 6.3% | ~1 in 6 |
| Common | 97 / 2,697 | 87% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 59 of 59 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Cooper Flagg
Jump Shot · Oct 22, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$259
Recent Low
$178
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.90%Wt 0.009
Dylan Harper
Dunk · Oct 23, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$80.00
Recent Low
$76.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.90%Wt 0.009
Luka Dončić
3 Pointer · Oct 22, 2025
Season Tip-Off
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$40.00
Recent Low
$36.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.90%Wt 0.009
Victor Wembanyama
Reel · Mar 6, 2026
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$39.00
Recent Low
$20.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.90%Wt 0.009
Victor Wembanyama
Dunk · Mar 25, 2026
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$37.49
Recent Low
$21.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.90%Wt 0.009
LaMelo Ball
Assist · Dec 24, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$23.00
Recent Low
$20.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.90%Wt 0.009
Amen Thompson
Dunk · Jan 17, 2026
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$11.45
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.90%Wt 0.009
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Layup · Jan 22, 2026
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$9.48
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.90%Wt 0.009
Jalen Duren
Dunk · Oct 19, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$7.98
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.90%Wt 0.009
Tyrese Maxey
Layup · Jan 30, 2026
For The Win
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$7.50
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.90%Wt 0.009
Kevin Durant
Jump Shot · Mar 14, 2026
For The Win
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.90%Wt 0.009
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · Jun 11, 2026
2026 NBA Playoffs
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.90%Wt 0.009
Victor Wembanyama
Block · Apr 29, 2026
2026 NBA Playoffs
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$2.90
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.90%Wt 0.009
Tracy McGrady
Layup · Nov 30, 2005
Archive Set
COMMONSummer 2021
FMV
$0.91
Recent Low
$0.65
Mint 10,000
Hit 2.70%Wt 0.027
LaMelo Ball
Layup · Dec 27, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.89
Recent Low
$0.50
Mint 40,000
Hit 1.80%Wt 0.018
De'Aaron Fox
Jump Shot · Apr 26, 2026
2026 NBA Playoffs
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.80
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 1,000
Hit 1.80%Wt 0.018
Tyrese Haliburton
Dunk · Jan 30, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.74
Recent Low
$0.40
Mint 40,000
Hit 4.50%Wt 0.045
Scottie Barnes
Dunk · Oct 25, 2021
Rising Stars
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.62
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 17,500
Hit 2.70%Wt 0.027
Jamal Shead
Hustle · Apr 26, 2026
2026 NBA Playoffs
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.54
Recent Low
$0.26
Mint 1,000
Hit 1.80%Wt 0.018
Mikal Bridges
Steal · May 19, 2026
2026 NBA Playoffs
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 1,000
Hit 1.80%Wt 0.018
Tim Duncan
Dunk · May 7, 2006
Archive Set
COMMONSummer 2021
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.50
Mint 10,000
Hit 1.80%Wt 0.018
Dwyane Wade
Dunk · May 28, 2006
Archive Set
COMMONSummer 2021
FMV
$0.29
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 10,000
Hit 3.60%Wt 0.036
Paul Pierce
3 Pointer · Mar 26, 2006
Archive Set
COMMONSummer 2021
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 10,000
Hit 3.60%Wt 0.036
Jaden McDaniels
Dunk · Apr 1, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 40,000
Hit 4.50%Wt 0.045