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NBA Top Shot · Pack #8750
Run It Back: Origins Standard Pack
Rare1 slot
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$34.00
Actual EV
$13.06
Net −$20.94 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 87% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $34.00 ask
Typical Pull
$6.00
Grail premium $7.06 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
0.38x
-61.6% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 87% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $34.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
131 editions
Depletion
87%
pool · as of 7h ago
Packs remaining
434
of 3,400 minted · as of 7h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 7h ago13%unopened
Ultimate1 / 2 (50%)
0.23 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.06 · 3.9× launch rate
Legendary4 / 40 (10%)
0.92 per 100 sealed packs · launch 1.2 · 0.8× launch rate
Rare429 / 3,358 (13%)
99 per 100 sealed packs · launch 99 · ≈ launch rate
Pull odds by tier
1 slots/pack · as of 7h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 1 / 2 | 0.2% | ~1 in 434 |
| Legendary | 4 / 40 | 0.9% | ~1 in 109 |
| Rare | 429 / 3,358 | 99% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 1 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 131 of 131 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Dominique Wilkins
Dunk · Feb 20, 1989
Heroes of the Game
ULTIMATESeries 2024-25
FMV
$449
Recent Low
$499
Mint 10
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Tim Duncan
Dunk · Dec 21, 1997
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2025-26Jukebox
FMV
$200
Recent Low
$222
Mint 10
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
LeBron James
Reel · Mar 27, 2004
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$190
Recent Low
$105
Mint 149
Hit 0.92%Wt 0.009
LeBron James
Reel · Mar 27, 2004
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2025-26Blockchain
FMV
$185
Recent Low
$130
Mint 99
Hit 0.69%Wt 0.007
Steph Curry
Reel · Feb 11, 2010
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$103
Recent Low
$30.00
Mint 149
Hit 0.92%Wt 0.009
Steph Curry
Reel · Feb 11, 2010
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2025-26Blockchain
FMV
$100
Recent Low
$63.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Tracy McGrady
Layup · Mar 11, 2004
Run It Back: Legacies
LEGENDARYSeries 2025-26
FMV
$92.50
Recent Low
$85.00
Mint 44
Hit 0.46%Wt 0.005
Toni Kukoc
Assist · Mar 3, 1996
Run It Back: Legacies
LEGENDARYSeries 2025-26
FMV
$69.99
Recent Low
$59.00
Mint 44
Hit 0.46%Wt 0.005
Mike Bibby
3 Pointer · Mar 9, 2005
Run It Back: For The Win
RARESeries 2025-26Galactic
FMV
$67.50
Recent Low
$75.00
Mint 5
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
LeBron James
Layup · May 31, 2007
The Anthology: LeBron James
RARESeries 4
FMV
$63.99
Recent Low
$57.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.69%Wt 0.007
Tim Duncan
Dunk · Dec 21, 1997
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$16.50
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 149
Hit 0.92%Wt 0.009
Dennis Rodman
3 Pointer · Dec 31, 1989
The Immortals
RARESeries 2025-26Hardcourt
FMV
$14.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 50
Hit 0.69%Wt 0.007
Ray Allen
Dunk · Nov 13, 1996
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$8.69
Mint 149
Hit 1.84%Wt 0.018
Joe Johnson
Floater · Apr 16, 2017
Run It Back: For The Win
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$9.95
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 149
Hit 1.38%Wt 0.014
Carlos Arroyo
Jump Shot · Mar 28, 2004
Run It Back: For The Win
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$9.90
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 149
Hit 2.07%Wt 0.021
Larry Johnson
Reel · Feb 20, 1992
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$6.49
Mint 149
Hit 1.38%Wt 0.014
Jason Kidd
Assist · Mar 11, 2011
The Immortals
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$7.49
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 149
Hit 1.15%Wt 0.012
Vlade Divac
Layup · Jan 3, 2001
The Immortals
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$7.48
Recent Low
$5.49
Mint 149
Hit 1.61%Wt 0.016
Alonzo Mourning
Jump Shot · May 5, 1993
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$7.46
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 149
Hit 1.38%Wt 0.014
Grant Hill
Dunk · Apr 1, 2000
The Immortals
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$7.27
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 149
Hit 1.38%Wt 0.014
Andre Miller
Layup · Jan 5, 2000
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$6.09
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 149
Hit 2.07%Wt 0.021
Jason Kidd
Assist · Mar 11, 2011
The Immortals
RARESeries 2025-26Blockchain
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 99
Hit 1.61%Wt 0.016
Dino Radja
Dunk · Apr 1, 1995
The Immortals
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$5.95
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 149
Hit 1.61%Wt 0.016
Vernon Maxwell
Jump Shot · Dec 22, 1993
Run It Back: For The Win
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 149
Hit 1.84%Wt 0.018