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NBA Top Shot · Pack #886
Quick Rip Video Game Numbers: December Web
Common4 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$26.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $3.80 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $26.00
Typical Pull
$1.16
Grail premium $2.64 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $26.00
FMV coverage
100%
20 editions
Depletion
98%
live pool
Packs remaining
88
of 3,553 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 15h ago2.5%unopened
Rare12 / 356 (3.4%)
Common336 / 13,856 (2.4%)
Pull odds by tier
4 slots/pack · as of 15h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 12 / 356 | 3.4% | ~1 in 8 |
| Common | 336 / 13,856 | 97% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 4 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 20 of 20 (100%)Bam Adebayo
Video Game Numbers
RARE6
FMV
$9.86
Floor
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 2.81%Wt 0.057
Tyrese Haliburton
Video Game Numbers
RARE6
FMV
$8.75
Floor
$7.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.56%Wt 0.011
Mikal Bridges
Video Game Numbers
RARE6
FMV
$7.82
Floor
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 2.25%Wt 0.045
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Video Game Numbers
RARE6
FMV
$7.75
Floor
$7.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.56%Wt 0.011
Joel Embiid
Video Game Numbers
RARE6
FMV
$5.80
Floor
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.56%Wt 0.011
Taylor Hendricks
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.98
Floor
$0.35
Mint 4,000
Hit 5.62%Wt 0.114
Olivier-Maxence Prosper
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.72
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.37%Wt 0.068
Goga Bitadze
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.57
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 9.55%Wt 0.193
Dariq Whitehead
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.49
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.81%Wt 0.057
Moritz Wagner
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.49
Floor
$0.40
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.69%Wt 0.034
Ben Simmons
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.44
Floor
$0.49
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.81%Wt 0.057
Coby White
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.69%Wt 0.034
Bismack Biyombo
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.25%Wt 0.045
DeMar DeRozan
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.35
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,500
Hit 11.80%Wt 0.239
Luka Dončić
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.26
Mint 8,500
Hit 18.54%Wt 0.375
Cedi Osman
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.69%Wt 0.034
Tyrese Maxey
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.27
Mint 8,000
Hit 14.04%Wt 0.284
Kevin Huerter
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,500
Hit 13.48%Wt 0.273
OG Anunoby
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.26
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.12%Wt 0.023
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.81%Wt 0.057