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NBA Top Shot · Pack #8908
Keaton Wagler Tip-Off Pack
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$11.94
Actual EV
$4.46
Mean pull · Net −$7.48 vs ask
Typical Pull
$0.48
Grail premium $3.98 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
0.37x
-62.6% margin
FMV coverage
100%
152 editions
Depletion
30%
pool · as of 2h ago
Packs remaining
1,054
of 1,500 minted · as of 2h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 2h ago70%unopened
Legendary1 / 4 (25%)
0.09 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.27 · 0.4× launch rate
Rare96 / 134 (72%)
9.1 per 100 sealed packs · launch 8.9 · ≈ launch rate
Fandom2 / 3 (67%)
Common3,063 / 4,359 (70%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 2h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 1 / 4 | <0.1% | ~1 in 1,054 |
| Rare | 96 / 134 | 3.0% | ~1 in 11 |
| Fandom | 2 / 3 | <0.1% | ~1 in 527 |
| Common | 3,063 / 4,359 | 97% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 152 of 152 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Nolan Traore
Layup · Feb 10, 2026
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARYSeries 2025-26Galactic
FMV
$1,350
Recent Low
$1,500
Mint 5
Hit 0.03%Wt 0
Keaton Wagler
Layup · Oct 21, 2026
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2026-27
FMV
$84.50
Recent Low
$80.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.54%Wt 0.005
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Reel
2022-23 Honors
RARESeries 4Coded
FMV
$79.20
Recent Low
$88.00
Mint 25
Hit 0.03%Wt 0
Cedric Coward
3 Pointer · Oct 26, 2025
Origins
RARESeries 2025-26Jukebox
FMV
$70.55
Recent Low
$83.00
Mint 10
Hit 0.03%Wt 0
Asa Newell
3 Pointer · Oct 24, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26Hardcourt
FMV
$40.50
Recent Low
$45.00
Mint 50
Hit 0.03%Wt 0
Ryan Kalkbrenner
Block · Nov 13, 2025
Origins
RARESeries 2025-26Hexwave
FMV
$39.60
Recent Low
$44.00
Mint 25
Hit 0.03%Wt 0
Kasparas Jakučionis
Block · Jan 26, 2026
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$38.70
Recent Low
$43.00
Mint 129
Hit 0.03%Wt 0
Ryan Kalkbrenner
Dunk · Nov 5, 2025
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2025-26Hexwave
FMV
$32.40
Recent Low
$36.00
Mint 25
Hit 0.03%Wt 0
Jeremiah Fears
Layup · Dec 15, 2025
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$32.00
Recent Low
$24.00
Mint 129
Hit 0.03%Wt 0
Ryan Nembhard
Jump Shot · Nov 8, 2025
Origins
RARESeries 2025-26Hexwave
FMV
$30.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 25
Hit 0.03%Wt 0
Ben Saraf
Layup · Oct 22, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26Hardcourt
FMV
$27.00
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 50
Hit 0.03%Wt 0
Moussa Diabaté
Dunk · Jan 29, 2026
Breakout
RARESeries 2025-26Hexwave
FMV
$25.20
Recent Low
$28.00
Mint 25
Hit 0.03%Wt 0
Matas Buzelis
Reel · Dec 6, 2024
2024-25 Honors
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$24.00
Recent Low
$32.00
Mint 131
Hit 0.03%Wt 0
Kel'el Ware
Layup · Mar 25, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$24.00
Recent Low
$18.00
Mint 164
Hit 0.03%Wt 0
Tre Johnson
Jump Shot · Oct 22, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26Blockchain
FMV
$24.00
Recent Low
$20.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.03%Wt 0
Devin Booker
Assist · Jan 20, 2026
Constellations
RARESeries 2025-26Hexwave
FMV
$23.40
Recent Low
$26.00
Mint 25
Hit 0.03%Wt 0
Jase Richardson
Floater · Oct 25, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26Hardcourt
FMV
$23.36
Recent Low
$25.95
Mint 50
Hit 0.03%Wt 0
Walter Clayton Jr.
Layup · Feb 7, 2026
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2025-26Hexwave
FMV
$21.00
Recent Low
$28.00
Mint 25
Hit 0.03%Wt 0
Asa Newell
3 Pointer · Oct 24, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26Blockchain
FMV
$19.90
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.03%Wt 0
Evan Mobley
Dunk · Oct 24, 2025
Equinox
RARESeries 2025-26Hexwave
FMV
$19.80
Recent Low
$22.00
Mint 25
Hit 0.03%Wt 0
Brandon Miller
Steal · Feb 6, 2024
2023-24 Honors
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$18.00
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 150
Hit 0.06%Wt 0.001
Stephon Castle
Jump Shot · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$16.00
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.06%Wt 0.001
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
Dunk · Dec 7, 2023
2023-24 Honors
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$12.49
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 150
Hit 0.06%Wt 0.001
Will Richard
3 Pointer · Nov 6, 2025
Origins
RARESeries 2025-26Hexwave
FMV
$11.25
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 25
Hit 0.06%Wt 0.001