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NBA Top Shot · Pack #954
Holiday of Hoops: Boosted Hot Pack
Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$30.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $3.02 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $30.00 ask
Typical Pull
$1.30
Grail premium $1.72 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $30.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
143 editions
Depletion
98%
pool · as of 2d ago
Packs remaining
1,176
of 52,268 minted · as of 2d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 2d ago2.2%unopened
Legendary1 / 20 (5.0%)
0.09 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.04 · 2.2× launch rate
Rare75 / 3,509 (2.1%)
6.4 per 100 sealed packs · launch 6.7 · ≈ launch rate
Common5,800 / 257,891 (2.2%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 2d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 1 / 20 | <0.1% | ~1 in 1,176 |
| Rare | 75 / 3,509 | 1.3% | ~1 in 16 |
| Common | 5,800 / 257,891 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 143 of 143 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Patrick Beverley
Block · Dec 26, 2019
Deck the Hoops
LEGENDARYSeries 3
FMV
$80.00
Recent Low
$138
Mint 55
Hit 0.02%Wt 0
Walker Kessler
Layup · Oct 20, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.12%Wt 0.011
Devin Booker
Reel · Dec 1, 2022
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 4
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.19%Wt 0.002
Jalen Williams
Jump Shot · Oct 20, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$4.80
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.07%Wt 0.011
Jabari Smith Jr.
3 Pointer · Oct 19, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.23%Wt 0.012
Royce O'Neale
Layup · Nov 18, 2022
For the Win
RARESeries 4
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.37%Wt 0.004
Jalen Suggs
3 Pointer · Nov 19, 2022
For the Win
RARESeries 4
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.31%Wt 0.003
Andrew Nembhard
Assist · Oct 21, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$3.34
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.41%Wt 0.014
Bradley Beal
Jump Shot · Oct 21, 2022
For the Win
RARESeries 4
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.22%Wt 0.002
Myles Turner
Dunk · Nov 24, 2022
Throwdowns
RARESeries 4
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.19%Wt 0.002
Michael Porter Jr.
Block · Oct 22, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Explosion
FMV
$2.21
Recent Low
$2.45
Mint 500
Hit 0.19%Wt 0.002
Damian Lillard
Jump Shot · Oct 22, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Explosion
FMV
$2.00
Recent Low
$3.95
Mint 500
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
Steph Curry
Handles · Nov 19, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Torn
FMV
$1.14
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.36%Wt 0.004
Malik Monk
Layup · Nov 10, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Torn
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.98
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.43%Wt 0.004
Nikola Jović
Layup · Oct 27, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.89
Recent Low
$0.85
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.17%Wt 0.012
Steph Curry
Handles · Nov 19, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Vortex
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.50
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.008
John Collins
Block · Oct 26, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.39
Recent Low
$0.28
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.26%Wt 0.013
Jordan Poole
Assist · Dec 4, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.35
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.45%Wt 0.014
Anthony Edwards
Block · Nov 22, 2022
Spotlight Series
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.32
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 5,555
Hit 1.96%Wt 0.02
Kevin Love
3 Pointer · Oct 30, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.29
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.46%Wt 0.015
Jarrett Allen
Dunk · Oct 26, 2022
Spotlight Series
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.28
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 5,555
Hit 1.63%Wt 0.016
Nikola Jokić
Jump Shot · Nov 29, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.28
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.50%Wt 0.015
DeMar DeRozan
Layup · Nov 4, 2022
Spotlight Series
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 5,555
Hit 1.70%Wt 0.017
Cameron Payne
Layup · Nov 12, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.62%Wt 0.016