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NBA Top Shot · Pack #954
Holiday of Hoops: Boosted Hot Pack
Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$30.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $9.61 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $30.00
Typical Pull
$2.05
Grail premium $7.56 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $30.00
FMV coverage
100%
33 editions
Depletion
98%
live pool
Packs remaining
1,176
of 52,268 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 2m ago2.2%unopened
Legendary1 / 20 (5.0%)
Rare75 / 3,509 (2.1%)
Common34,071 / 257,892 (13%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 2m ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 1 / 20 | <0.1% | ~1 in 6,830 |
| Rare | 75 / 3,509 | 0.2% | ~1 in 91 |
| Common | 34,071 / 257,892 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 33 of 33 (100%)Patrick Beverley
Deck the Hoops
LEGENDARY4
FMV
$135
Floor
$150
Mint 55
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.001
Devin Booker
Video Game Numbers
RARE5
FMV
$9.67
Floor
$9.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.00%Wt 0.009
Jalen Williams
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$9.09
Floor
$6.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 5.81%Wt 0.054
Jalen Suggs
For the Win
RARE5
FMV
$5.67
Floor
$5.00
Mint 777
Hit 1.63%Wt 0.015
Walker Kessler
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$4.74
Floor
$4.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 6.45%Wt 0.06
Myles Turner
Throwdowns
RARE5
FMV
$4.50
Floor
$4.00
Mint 888
Hit 1.00%Wt 0.009
Royce O'Neale
For the Win
RARE5
FMV
$4.20
Floor
$3.00
Mint 777
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.019
Bradley Beal
For the Win
RARE5
FMV
$4.13
Floor
$4.00
Mint 777
Hit 1.18%Wt 0.011
Jabari Smith Jr.
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$2.90
Floor
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 6.99%Wt 0.065
Andrew Nembhard
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$1.50
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 8.36%Wt 0.078
Kelly Olynyk
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$1.14
Floor
$0.35
Mint 16,000
Hit 1.45%Wt 0.014
Nikola Jović
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$1.03
Floor
$0.35
Mint 4,000
Hit 6.90%Wt 0.065
Goran Dragić
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.51
Floor
$0.34
Mint 11,000
Hit 2.27%Wt 0.021
Paul George
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.44
Floor
$0.26
Mint 13,500
Hit 1.63%Wt 0.015
Cam Reddish
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.43
Floor
$0.26
Mint 16,000
Hit 1.63%Wt 0.015
Isaiah Hartenstein
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.37
Floor
$0.41
Mint 16,000
Hit 8.99%Wt 0.084
Steph Curry
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.37
Floor
$0.26
Mint 16,000
Hit 2.91%Wt 0.027
Malik Monk
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.35
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 8.72%Wt 0.082
John Collins
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 2.18%Wt 0.02
Kyle Lowry
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.22
Mint 16,000
Hit 2.45%Wt 0.023
Fred VanVleet
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.019
Goga Bitadze
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.26
Mint 16,000
Hit 2.45%Wt 0.023
Darius Garland
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.25
Mint 13,500
Hit 6.45%Wt 0.06
Jose Alvarado
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.24
Mint 16,000
Hit 2.09%Wt 0.02