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NBA Top Shot · Pack #955
Hot Pack (Release 3)
Common6 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$6.95
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.42 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (94% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $6.95
Typical Pull
$1.92
Grail premium $0.50 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (94% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $6.95
FMV coverage
100%
40 editions
Depletion
94%
live pool
Packs remaining
2,124
of 36,457 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 19h ago5.8%unopened
Rare57 / 913 (6.2%)
Common35,975 / 218,539 (16%)
Pull odds by tier
6 slots/pack · as of 19h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 57 / 913 | 0.2% | ~1 in 106 |
| Common | 35,975 / 218,539 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 6 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 40 of 40 (100%)Luka Dončić
Video Game Numbers
RARE5
FMV
$15.16
Floor
$16.84
Mint 499
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.015
Anthony Davis
Video Game Numbers
RARE5
FMV
$12.25
Floor
$9.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.07%Wt 0.012
Jaden Ivey
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$1.09
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.58%Wt 0.094
Jaylen Brown
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.89
Floor
$0.99
Mint 9,500
Hit 3.01%Wt 0.491
Goran Dragić
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.51
Floor
$0.34
Mint 11,000
Hit 4.28%Wt 0.697
Darius Bazley
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.47
Floor
$0.24
Mint 9,000
Hit 4.37%Wt 0.712
Christian Braun
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.39
Floor
$0.20
Mint 7,904
Hit 2.24%Wt 0.364
Mo Bamba
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.24
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.44%Wt 0.723
D'Angelo Russell
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.35
Floor
$0.26
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.32%Wt 0.704
Dennis Smith Jr.
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.20
Mint 11,000
Hit 4.56%Wt 0.742
Dalano Banton
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.35%Wt 0.708
John Collins
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.27%Wt 0.694
Rui Hachimura
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.29%Wt 0.699
Kyle Lowry
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.22
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.23%Wt 0.689
Fred VanVleet
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 3.45%Wt 0.561
Yuta Watanabe
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.20
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.59%Wt 0.747
Shake Milton
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.24
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.55%Wt 0.741
Deandre Ayton
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.28
Mint 12,000
Hit 4.20%Wt 0.684
Jose Alvarado
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.24
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.02%Wt 0.655
Georges Niang
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.23
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.57%Wt 0.744
Jerami Grant
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.25
Mint 13,500
Hit 4.51%Wt 0.735
Norman Powell
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.26
Mint 15,000
Hit 4.50%Wt 0.733
Josh Green
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.24
Mint 13,500
Hit 4.36%Wt 0.71
Jevon Carter
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.30
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.49%Wt 0.731