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NBA Top Shot · Pack #955
Hot Pack (Release 3)
Common6 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$6.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.72 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 94% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $6.00 ask
Typical Pull
$1.26
Grail premium $0.46 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 94% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $6.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
42 editions
Depletion
94%
pool · as of 18h ago
Packs remaining
2,114
of 36,457 minted · as of 18h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 18h ago5.8%unopened
Rare57 / 913 (6.2%)
2.7 per 100 sealed packs · launch 2.5 · ≈ launch rate
Common12,609 / 218,524 (5.8%)
Pull odds by tier
6 slots/pack · as of 18h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 57 / 913 | 0.5% | ~1 in 37 |
| Common | 12,609 / 218,524 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 6 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 42 of 42 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Luka Dončić
Reel · Oct 27, 2022
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 4
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.003
Anthony Davis
Reel · Nov 23, 2022
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 4
FMV
$9.50
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.20%Wt 0.002
Jaden Ivey
Assist · Oct 19, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.89
Recent Low
$0.61
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.56%Wt 0.016
MarJon Beauchamp
Layup · Oct 23, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.59
Recent Low
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.78%Wt 0.018
David Roddy
Assist · Oct 19, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.33
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.65%Wt 0.017
Lonnie Walker IV
Dunk · Nov 3, 2022
Spotlight Series
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.32
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 5,555
Hit 2.61%Wt 0.026
John Collins
Block · Oct 26, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Josh Green
Dunk · Nov 8, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.49%Wt 0.035
Goran Dragić
Layup · Nov 3, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.11%Wt 0.031
Zion Williamson
Layup · Nov 24, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.53%Wt 0.035
Jaylen Brown
Dunk · Oct 28, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.47%Wt 0.035
Georges Niang
3 Pointer · Nov 8, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.35%Wt 0.033
Christian Braun
Block · Oct 29, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.29%Wt 0.033
Yuta Watanabe
3 Pointer · Nov 18, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.58%Wt 0.036
D'Angelo Russell
Handles · Oct 22, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.49%Wt 0.035
Kyle Lowry
Jump Shot · Nov 19, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.29%Wt 0.033
Cam Thomas
Jump Shot · Dec 11, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.19%Wt 0.042
Jerami Grant
Layup · Oct 23, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.67%Wt 0.037
Jevon Carter
Layup · Nov 10, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.48%Wt 0.035
Dennis Smith Jr.
Layup · Oct 29, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.44%Wt 0.034
Mo Bamba
Dunk · Oct 28, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.11
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.38%Wt 0.034
Deandre Ayton
Block · Nov 19, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.32%Wt 0.033
Fred VanVleet
Jump Shot · Nov 6, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.31%Wt 0.033
Jose Alvarado
Steal · Nov 13, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.29%Wt 0.033