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NBA Top Shot · Pack #957
KD Certified Pack (Standard)
Common4 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$3.99
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.01 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.99 ask
Typical Pull
$0.76
Grail premium $0.25 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.99 ask
FMV coverage
100%
233 editions
Depletion
97%
pool · as of 7h ago
Packs remaining
4,099
of 149,917 minted · as of 7h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 7h ago2.7%unopened
Legendary2 / 119 (1.7%)
0.05 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.08 · 0.6× launch rate
Rare96 / 3,829 (2.5%)
2.3 per 100 sealed packs · launch 2.6 · ≈ launch rate
Common16,296 / 595,720 (2.7%)
Pull odds by tier
4 slots/pack · as of 7h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 2 / 119 | <0.1% | ~1 in 2,050 |
| Rare | 96 / 3,829 | 0.6% | ~1 in 43 |
| Common | 16,296 / 595,720 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 4 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 233 of 233 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Fred VanVleet
Layup · Jan 8, 2022
Holo Icon
LEGENDARYSeries 3
FMV
$40.00
Recent Low
$31.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.01%Wt 0
Kevin Durant
Layup · Dec 12, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.10%Wt 0.001
Donovan Mitchell
Steal · Nov 30, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.05%Wt 0
Robert Williams III
Block · Jan 9, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$5.90
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.001
De'Anthony Melton
Dunk · Dec 3, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.38
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.11%Wt 0.001
Eric Gordon
Jump Shot · Dec 4, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Monte Morris
Assist · Dec 18, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.07%Wt 0.001
Will Barton
Block · Oct 31, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$3.64
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Steph Curry
Handles · Oct 25, 2021
Game Recognize Game
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.70
Recent Low
$0.49
Mint 10,000
Hit 0.86%Wt 0.009
Anthony Edwards
Dunk · Oct 26, 2021
Game Recognize Game
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.46
Recent Low
$0.28
Mint 10,000
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Anthony Edwards
Layup · Jan 10, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.40
Recent Low
$0.31
Mint 9,999
Hit 0.73%Wt 0.007
Nikola Jokić
3 Pointer · Nov 15, 2021
Game Recognize Game
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 10,000
Hit 0.96%Wt 0.01
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
Layup · Nov 14, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Quentin Grimes
3 Pointer · Dec 12, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 12,000
Hit 1.15%Wt 0.011
Nikola Jokić
Assist · Jan 8, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.96%Wt 0.02
James Harden
Handles · Dec 28, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.92%Wt 0.019
DeMar DeRozan
Layup · Nov 16, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.14
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.23%Wt 0.022
Brandon Clarke
Dunk · Jan 8, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.12%Wt 0.021
Patrick Beverley
Assist · Jan 4, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.09%Wt 0.021
Miles Bridges
Block · Jan 3, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.05%Wt 0.02
Evan Fournier
3 Pointer · Jan 7, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.88%Wt 0.019
Rudy Gobert
Block · Oct 27, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.94%Wt 0.019
Spencer Dinwiddie
Assist · Dec 29, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.90%Wt 0.019
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
3 Pointer · Dec 19, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.16
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.01%Wt 0.02