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NBA Top Shot · Pack #961
NBA Top Shot 50 Reveal: Hot Pack
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$4.43
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.86 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 96% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $4.43 ask
Typical Pull
$0.63
Grail premium $0.23 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 96% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $4.43 ask
FMV coverage
100%
129 editions
Depletion
96%
pool · as of 12h ago
Packs remaining
5,090
of 117,065 minted · as of 12h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 12h ago4.3%unopened
Legendary0 / 5 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.00
Rare203 / 4,339 (4.7%)
4.0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 3.7 · ≈ launch rate
Fandom0 / 3 (0.0%)
Common15,037 / 347,968 (4.3%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 12h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 5 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 203 / 4,339 | 1.3% | ~1 in 25 |
| Fandom | 0 / 3 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Common | 15,037 / 347,968 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packWhat's Inside
FMV priced 129 of 129 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Brook Lopez
Layup · Dec 10, 2022
For the Win
RARESeries 4
FMV
$4.50
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.26%Wt 0.003
Ayo Dosunmu
Layup · Dec 22, 2022
For the Win
RARESeries 4
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.28%Wt 0.003
Daniel Gafford
Dunk · Dec 4, 2022
Throwdowns
RARESeries 4
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.22%Wt 0.002
Kevon Looney
Layup · Jan 3, 2023
For the Win
RARESeries 4
FMV
$3.40
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.18%Wt 0.002
Malik Beasley
Reel · Dec 8, 2022
For the Win
RARESeries 4
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.002
Victor Oladipo
Dunk · Jan 1, 2023
Throwdowns
RARESeries 4
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Nikola Vučević
Block · Dec 8, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.29
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.69%Wt 0.017
Donovan Mitchell
3 Pointer · Dec 7, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.69%Wt 0.017
Donte DiVincenzo
3 Pointer · Dec 31, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.65%Wt 0.016
Harrison Barnes
Layup · Dec 1, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.46%Wt 0.015
Charles Bassey
Block · Nov 12, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.80%Wt 0.018
Alex Caruso
Assist · Dec 8, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.71%Wt 0.017
Isaiah Joe
Dunk · Jan 4, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.69%Wt 0.017
James Harden
Assist · Dec 6, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.77%Wt 0.018
Luguentz Dort
Jump Shot · Dec 18, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.77%Wt 0.018
Cedi Osman
Assist · Nov 21, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.65%Wt 0.017
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Block · Jan 2, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.63%Wt 0.016
Alec Burks
Jump Shot · Dec 29, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.76%Wt 0.018
Terence Davis
Steal · Nov 16, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.69%Wt 0.017
Dwight Powell
Dunk · Oct 30, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Kawhi Leonard
Layup · Dec 17, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.65%Wt 0.016
Romeo Langford
Layup · Dec 10, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.80%Wt 0.018
Drew Eubanks
Dunk · Dec 11, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.72%Wt 0.017
Moritz Wagner
Dunk · Dec 8, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.84%Wt 0.018
