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NBA Top Shot · Pack #961
NBA Top Shot 50 Reveal: Hot Pack
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$4.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.13 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $4.00
Typical Pull
$0.87
Grail premium $0.26 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $4.00
FMV coverage
100%
81 editions
Depletion
96%
live pool
Packs remaining
5,101
of 117,065 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 20d ago4.4%unopened
Legendary0 / 5 (0.0%)
Rare205 / 4,339 (4.7%)
Fandom0 / 3 (0.0%)
Common75,391 / 347,969 (22%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 20d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 5 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 205 / 4,339 | 0.3% | ~1 in 123 |
| Fandom | 0 / 3 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Common | 75,391 / 347,969 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 81 of 81 (100%)Malik Beasley
For the Win
RARE5
FMV
$8.00
Floor
$6.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.10%Wt 0.001
Ayo Dosunmu
For the Win
RARE5
FMV
$7.00
Floor
$5.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.11%Wt 0.001
Brook Lopez
For the Win
RARE5
FMV
$5.05
Floor
$4.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.10%Wt 0.001
Max Strus
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$2.98
Floor
$0.23
Mint 12,000
Hit 0.94%Wt 0.005
Tobias Harris
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.70
Floor
$0.32
Mint 16,000
Hit 1.60%Wt 0.008
Royce O'Neale
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.55
Floor
$0.35
Mint 16,000
Hit 0.93%Wt 0.005
Bruce Brown
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.43
Floor
$0.31
Mint 16,000
Hit 1.90%Wt 0.01
Alex Caruso
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.42
Floor
$0.27
Mint 12,000
Hit 4.35%Wt 0.022
James Harden
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.27
Mint 9,500
Hit 3.53%Wt 0.018
Donovan Mitchell
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.39
Floor
$0.24
Mint 16,000
Hit 3.51%Wt 0.018
CJ McCollum
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.38
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 1.45%Wt 0.007
Terence Davis
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.37
Floor
$0.26
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.55%Wt 0.023
Mo Bamba
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.24
Mint 16,000
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.008
Cedi Osman
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.35
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.54%Wt 0.023
Chris Boucher
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.34
Floor
$0.26
Mint 16,000
Hit 1.72%Wt 0.009
Mitchell Robinson
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.34
Floor
$0.27
Mint 16,000
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.008
Alec Burks
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.25
Mint 9,500
Hit 4.38%Wt 0.022
Brandon Clarke
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.68%Wt 0.024
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.22
Mint 16,000
Hit 3.93%Wt 0.02
Kawhi Leonard
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.26
Mint 16,000
Hit 3.38%Wt 0.017
Isaiah Joe
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.31%Wt 0.022
Drew Eubanks
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.55%Wt 0.023
Trey Lyles
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.29
Mint 9,500
Hit 4.44%Wt 0.023
Charles Bassey
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.29
Mint 16,000
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.015