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NBA Top Shot · Pack #962
Holiday of Hoops: Hot Pack
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$8.50
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.36 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $8.50 ask
Typical Pull
$0.66
Grail premium $0.70 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $8.50 ask
FMV coverage
100%
59 editions
Depletion
98%
pool · as of 70d ago
Packs remaining
2,040
of 84,497 minted · as of 70d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 70d ago2.4%unopened
Legendary0 / 10 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.01
Rare41 / 1,955 (2.1%)
2.0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 2.3 · 0.9× launch rate
Common36,951 / 252,045 (15%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 70d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 10 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 41 / 1,955 | 0.1% | ~1 in 301 |
| Common | 36,951 / 252,045 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packWhat's Inside
FMV priced 59 of 59 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Paolo Banchero
Dunk · Oct 19, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$11.88
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.36%Wt 0.014
Kevin Durant
Reel · Nov 29, 2022
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 4
FMV
$11.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.18%Wt 0.002
Jerami Grant
Jump Shot · Nov 5, 2022
For the Win
RARESeries 4
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.30%Wt 0.003
Kawhi Leonard
Jump Shot · Dec 6, 2022
For the Win
RARESeries 4
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.002
Shaedon Sharpe
3 Pointer · Oct 20, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$2.17
Recent Low
$1.95
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.51%Wt 0.015
Steph Curry
Handles · Nov 19, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.42
Recent Low
$0.40
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.32%Wt 0.023
Jalen Smith
Block · Oct 22, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.35
Recent Low
$0.29
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.38%Wt 0.014
Darius Garland
Assist · Dec 1, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.71%Wt 0.027
Seth Curry
3 Pointer · Nov 27, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.04%Wt 0.03
Nikola Jokić
Jump Shot · Nov 29, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.029
Scottie Barnes
Assist · Nov 15, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.92%Wt 0.029
Terry Rozier
Layup · Oct 20, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.53%Wt 0.025
Chris Duarte
3 Pointer · Oct 31, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.41%Wt 0.024
Jericho Sims
Dunk · Nov 16, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.91%Wt 0.029
Jordan Poole
Assist · Dec 4, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.87%Wt 0.029
Tobias Harris
3 Pointer · Nov 29, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.46%Wt 0.025
Chris Boucher
Jump Shot · Nov 26, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.35%Wt 0.023
Isaiah Hartenstein
Dunk · Nov 5, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.00%Wt 0.03
Dorian Finney-Smith
Dunk · Feb 10, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.77%Wt 0.068
Malik Monk
Layup · Nov 10, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.84%Wt 0.028
Max Strus
Dunk · Nov 17, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.68%Wt 0.027
CJ McCollum
Jump Shot · Nov 16, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.32
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.61%Wt 0.026
P.J. Washington
Layup · Nov 19, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.025
Larry Nance Jr.
Dunk · Nov 5, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.58%Wt 0.026
