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NBA Top Shot · Pack #962
Holiday of Hoops: Hot Pack
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$7.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.94 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $7.00
Typical Pull
$1.02
Grail premium $0.92 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $7.00
FMV coverage
100%
31 editions
Depletion
98%
live pool
Packs remaining
2,040
of 84,497 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 19h ago2.4%unopened
Legendary0 / 10 (0.0%)
Rare39 / 1,955 (2.0%)
Common36,947 / 252,045 (15%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 19h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 10 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 39 / 1,955 | 0.1% | ~1 in 316 |
| Common | 36,947 / 252,045 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 31 of 31 (100%)Paolo Banchero
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$14.30
Floor
$11.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.51%Wt 0.041
Kevin Durant
Video Game Numbers
RARE5
FMV
$11.00
Floor
$10.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.07%Wt 0.005
Kawhi Leonard
For the Win
RARE5
FMV
$5.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.06%Wt 0.005
Jerami Grant
For the Win
RARE5
FMV
$4.78
Floor
$4.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.11%Wt 0.009
Shaedon Sharpe
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$3.20
Floor
$3.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.57%Wt 0.045
Max Strus
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$2.98
Floor
$0.23
Mint 12,000
Hit 7.74%Wt 0.617
Tobias Harris
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.70
Floor
$0.32
Mint 16,000
Hit 7.54%Wt 0.601
Keldon Johnson
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.62
Floor
$0.69
Mint 15,500
Hit 2.09%Wt 0.166
Bruce Brown
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.43
Floor
$0.31
Mint 16,000
Hit 8.03%Wt 0.64
Cameron Payne
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.25
Mint 12,000
Hit 8.19%Wt 0.652
Terry Rozier
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.38
Floor
$0.26
Mint 16,000
Hit 7.36%Wt 0.587
Nikola Jokić
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.38
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 7.22%Wt 0.575
Steph Curry
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.37
Floor
$0.26
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.04%Wt 0.322
OG Anunoby
Spotlight Series
COMMON5
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.25
Mint 5,555
Hit 2.23%Wt 0.177
Santi Aldama
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.35
Floor
$0.25
Mint 13,500
Hit 4.28%Wt 0.341
Caleb Martin
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.34
Floor
$0.22
Mint 16,000
Hit 7.79%Wt 0.621
P.J. Washington
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.20
Mint 16,000
Hit 8.03%Wt 0.64
Dennis Smith Jr.
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.20
Mint 11,000
Hit 2.60%Wt 0.207
Larry Nance Jr.
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.28
Mint 9,500
Hit 7.31%Wt 0.582
Tyrese Haliburton
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 1.78%Wt 0.142
Kevin Love
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.20
Mint 16,000
Hit 0.66%Wt 0.053
Goga Bitadze
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.26
Mint 16,000
Hit 0.64%Wt 0.051
Anthony Davis
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.27
Mint 16,000
Hit 1.71%Wt 0.136
Aleksej Pokusevski
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.10
Mint 13,500
Hit 7.95%Wt 0.634