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NBA Top Shot · Pack #963
Hometown Showdown: Cali vs. NY (Series 1)
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$120
Actual EV
—
≈ $56.52 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $120
Typical Pull
$27.51
Grail premium $29.01 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $120
FMV coverage
100%
40 editions
Depletion
96%
live pool
Packs remaining
307
of 7,861 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 13h ago3.9%unopened
Common921 / 23,580 (3.9%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 13h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 921 / 23,580 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 40 of 40 (100%)LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$180
Floor
$153
Mint 1,000
Hit 2.12%Wt 0.02
Luka Dončić
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$132
Floor
$121
Mint 1,431
Hit 0.71%Wt 0.007
Nikola Jokić
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$112
Floor
$111
Mint 1,430
Hit 0.71%Wt 0.007
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$102
Floor
$99.00
Mint 1,359
Hit 0.71%Wt 0.007
Jayson Tatum
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$67.18
Floor
$66.00
Mint 1,428
Hit 2.47%Wt 0.023
OG Anunoby
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$47.25
Floor
$14.00
Mint 1,358
Hit 0.71%Wt 0.007
Jaylen Brown
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$41.21
Floor
$40.00
Mint 1,354
Hit 1.77%Wt 0.016
Zion Williamson
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$33.63
Floor
$27.00
Mint 1,357
Hit 0.71%Wt 0.007
Devin Booker
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$28.50
Floor
$28.00
Mint 1,358
Hit 1.77%Wt 0.016
Damian Lillard
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$24.44
Floor
$22.00
Mint 1,433
Hit 2.47%Wt 0.023
Anthony Davis
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$23.08
Floor
$22.00
Mint 1,431
Hit 1.41%Wt 0.013
De'Aaron Fox
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$21.93
Floor
$15.00
Mint 1,358
Hit 2.47%Wt 0.023
Vince Carter
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$18.00
Floor
$15.00
Mint 3,336
Hit 1.41%Wt 0.013
Steph Curry
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$16.19
Floor
$13.00
Mint 3,600
Hit 1.77%Wt 0.016
Jamal Murray
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$15.38
Floor
$15.00
Mint 1,431
Hit 1.77%Wt 0.016
Bam Adebayo
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$14.95
Floor
$3.00
Mint 1,431
Hit 1.77%Wt 0.016
Rudy Gobert
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$14.24
Floor
$9.00
Mint 1,358
Hit 1.41%Wt 0.013
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$13.86
Floor
$10.00
Mint 1,012
Hit 2.12%Wt 0.02
Michael Porter Jr.
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$12.50
Floor
$9.00
Mint 1,530
Hit 1.41%Wt 0.013
Danny Green
Hometown Showdown: Cali vs. NY
COMMON1
FMV
$10.80
Floor
$12.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 9.54%Wt 0.088
Kawhi Leonard
Hometown Showdown: Cali vs. NY
COMMON1
FMV
$9.17
Floor
$5.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 15.19%Wt 0.14
Kyle Lowry
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$7.30
Floor
$7.00
Mint 1,532
Hit 3.53%Wt 0.033
Norman Powell
Hometown Showdown: Cali vs. NY
COMMON1
FMV
$6.86
Floor
$5.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 10.60%Wt 0.098
Mo Bamba
Hometown Showdown: Cali vs. NY
COMMON1
FMV
$4.55
Floor
$4.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 9.89%Wt 0.091