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NBA Top Shot · Pack #964
Early Adopters (Series 1, Release 3)
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$149
Actual EV
$19.77
Net −$129 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 89% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $149 ask
Typical Pull
$6.00
Grail premium $13.77 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
0.13x
-86.7% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 89% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $149 ask
FMV coverage
100%
165 editions
Depletion
89%
pool · as of 13h ago
Packs remaining
490
of 4,650 minted · as of 13h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 13h ago11%unopened
Common1,470 / 13,950 (11%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 13h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 1,470 / 13,950 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 165 of 165 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
LeBron James
Dunk · Feb 7, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$168
Recent Low
$121
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.27%Wt 0.003
Luka Dončić
Dunk · Mar 12, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$143
Recent Low
$126
Mint 1,431
Hit 0.34%Wt 0.003
Nikola Jokić
Handles · Dec 30, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$125
Recent Low
$123
Mint 1,430
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Handles · Oct 27, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$82.00
Recent Low
$80.00
Mint 1,359
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
Jayson Tatum
Handles · Nov 21, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$59.00
Recent Low
$50.00
Mint 1,428
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.006
Jaylen Brown
Handles · Dec 25, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$36.00
Recent Low
$34.00
Mint 1,354
Hit 0.75%Wt 0.007
Zion Williamson
Block · Jan 25, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$29.00
Recent Low
$23.00
Mint 1,357
Hit 0.27%Wt 0.003
Kawhi Leonard
Dunk · Nov 21, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$23.00
Recent Low
$21.00
Mint 1,256
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.006
Devin Booker
Block · Nov 28, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$23.00
Recent Low
$21.00
Mint 1,358
Hit 0.27%Wt 0.003
OG Anunoby
Block · Oct 27, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$22.00
Recent Low
$16.00
Mint 1,358
Hit 0.54%Wt 0.005
Damian Lillard
Dunk · Oct 24, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$21.00
Recent Low
$17.00
Mint 1,433
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
Anthony Davis
Dunk · Jan 2, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$20.50
Recent Low
$19.00
Mint 1,431
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
Vince Carter
3 Pointer · Mar 11, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$18.00
Recent Low
$18.00
Mint 3,336
Hit 0.82%Wt 0.008
Steph Curry
3 Pointer · Mar 6, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$18.00
Recent Low
$17.00
Mint 3,600
Hit 0.75%Wt 0.007
Bam Adebayo
Block · Oct 29, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$14.01
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 1,431
Hit 0.68%Wt 0.007
Karl-Anthony Towns
Dunk · Feb 1, 2020
Early Adopters
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$13.79
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 1,325
Hit 3.88%Wt 0.039
Alex Caruso
Block · Feb 26, 2020
Early Adopters
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 1,325
Hit 3.54%Wt 0.035
Josh Hart
Layup · Feb 24, 2020
Early Adopters
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 1,325
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.031
Markelle Fultz
Dunk · Dec 21, 2019
Early Adopters
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$3.99
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 1,325
Hit 2.65%Wt 0.027
Kristaps Porziņģis
3 Pointer · Dec 15, 2019
Early Adopters
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 1,325
Hit 2.99%Wt 0.03
Kevin Huerter
Assist · Jan 9, 2020
Early Adopters
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 1,325
Hit 2.79%Wt 0.028
Mike Conley
3 Pointer · Nov 12, 2019
Early Adopters
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$2.50
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 1,325
Hit 4.56%Wt 0.046
Tomáš Satoranský
Dunk · Nov 24, 2019
Early Adopters
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$2.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 1,325
Hit 3.74%Wt 0.037
Julius Randle
Dunk · Nov 30, 2019
Early Adopters
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$2.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 1,325
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033