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NBA Top Shot · Pack #965
Base Set (Series 1, Release 1)
Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$369
Actual EV
—
≈ $31.05 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (94% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $369
Typical Pull
$22.50
Grail premium $8.55 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (94% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $369
FMV coverage
100%
32 editions
Depletion
94%
live pool
Packs remaining
56
of 900 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 10h ago6.2%unopened
Common280 / 4,500 (6.2%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 10h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 280 / 4,500 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 32 of 32 (100%)Vince Carter
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$21.38
Floor
$15.00
Mint 3,336
Hit 1.45%Wt 0.018
LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$20.40
Floor
$17.00
Mint 3,113
Hit 2.90%Wt 0.036
Jalen Brunson
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$17.88
Floor
$17.00
Mint 3,999
Hit 2.90%Wt 0.036
Steph Curry
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$16.19
Floor
$13.00
Mint 3,600
Hit 4.35%Wt 0.054
Luka Dončić
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$13.59
Floor
$11.00
Mint 3,524
Hit 2.90%Wt 0.036
Joel Embiid
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$9.09
Floor
$7.00
Mint 2,987
Hit 5.80%Wt 0.071
Karl-Anthony Towns
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$7.58
Floor
$7.00
Mint 2,983
Hit 5.80%Wt 0.071
Ja Morant
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$6.77
Floor
$6.00
Mint 3,164
Hit 2.90%Wt 0.036
Anthony Davis
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$6.75
Floor
$6.00
Mint 1,959
Hit 1.45%Wt 0.018
RJ Barrett
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$6.22
Floor
$5.00
Mint 2,882
Hit 1.45%Wt 0.018
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$5.79
Floor
$5.00
Mint 2,681
Hit 4.35%Wt 0.054
Zion Williamson
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$5.50
Floor
$5.00
Mint 1,642
Hit 2.90%Wt 0.036
Terence Davis
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$5.11
Floor
$3.00
Mint 1,535
Hit 1.45%Wt 0.018
Jaylen Brown
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$5.10
Floor
$4.00
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.45%Wt 0.018
Nikola Jokić
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$4.89
Floor
$4.00
Mint 3,525
Hit 2.90%Wt 0.036
Jayson Tatum
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$4.68
Floor
$4.00
Mint 2,486
Hit 4.35%Wt 0.054
Kendrick Nunn
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$4.50
Floor
$5.00
Mint 1,959
Hit 2.90%Wt 0.036
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$4.20
Floor
$4.00
Mint 2,489
Hit 2.90%Wt 0.036
Norman Powell
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$3.28
Floor
$3.00
Mint 2,773
Hit 2.90%Wt 0.036
Markieff Morris
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$3.24
Floor
$2.00
Mint 1,915
Hit 13.04%Wt 0.161
Marvin Bagley III
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$2.90
Floor
$2.00
Mint 3,999
Hit 2.90%Wt 0.036
Dwight Howard
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$2.79
Floor
$2.00
Mint 2,438
Hit 2.90%Wt 0.036
Kyle Lowry
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$2.55
Floor
$3.00
Mint 3,289
Hit 5.80%Wt 0.071
Danny Green
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$2.55
Floor
$3.00
Mint 1,284
Hit 4.35%Wt 0.054