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NBA Top Shot · Pack #973
Base Set (Series 1, Release 7)
Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$135
Actual EV
—
≈ $27.93 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $135
Typical Pull
$22.25
Grail premium $5.68 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $135
FMV coverage
100%
32 editions
Depletion
97%
live pool
Packs remaining
71
of 2,340 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 16h ago3.0%unopened
Common355 / 11,700 (3.0%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 16h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 355 / 11,700 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 32 of 32 (100%)LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$20.40
Floor
$17.00
Mint 3,113
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.028
Jalen Brunson
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$17.89
Floor
$17.00
Mint 3,999
Hit 1.28%Wt 0.014
Luka Dončić
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$13.59
Floor
$11.00
Mint 3,524
Hit 5.13%Wt 0.056
Zion Williamson
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$12.35
Floor
$8.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 1.28%Wt 0.014
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$8.72
Floor
$6.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 1.28%Wt 0.014
Kevin Love
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$8.23
Floor
$5.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 5.13%Wt 0.056
Jayson Tatum
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$7.39
Floor
$5.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 1.28%Wt 0.014
Draymond Green
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$7.00
Floor
$6.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.028
Karl-Anthony Towns
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$6.80
Floor
$5.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 1.28%Wt 0.014
Anthony Davis
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$6.75
Floor
$6.00
Mint 1,959
Hit 3.85%Wt 0.042
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$5.73
Floor
$5.00
Mint 2,681
Hit 3.85%Wt 0.042
RJ Barrett
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$5.50
Floor
$4.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.028
Matisse Thybulle
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$5.36
Floor
$4.00
Mint 1,530
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.028
Terence Davis
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$5.18
Floor
$3.00
Mint 1,535
Hit 6.41%Wt 0.07
Joel Embiid
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$5.00
Floor
$5.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 3.85%Wt 0.042
Damian Lillard
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$4.83
Floor
$4.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.028
Trae Young
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$4.43
Floor
$4.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 5.13%Wt 0.056
T.J. McConnell
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$4.00
Floor
$3.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 3.85%Wt 0.042
De'Andre Hunter
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$3.60
Floor
$3.00
Mint 1,807
Hit 3.85%Wt 0.042
Devin Booker
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$3.45
Floor
$3.00
Mint 2,681
Hit 3.85%Wt 0.042
Marcus Smart
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$3.32
Floor
$2.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 5.13%Wt 0.056
Marvin Bagley III
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$2.90
Floor
$2.00
Mint 3,999
Hit 6.41%Wt 0.07
Jonas Valančiūnas
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$2.29
Floor
$1.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 6.41%Wt 0.07
Cameron Payne
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$2.00
Floor
$2.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 5.13%Wt 0.056