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NBA Top Shot · Pack #976
Series 1 Locker Packs: From The Vault
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$105
Actual EV
—
≈ $14.55 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 96% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $105 ask
Typical Pull
$3.00
Grail premium $11.55 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 96% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $105 ask
FMV coverage
100%
280 editions
Depletion
96%
pool · as of 10h ago
Packs remaining
1,007
of 22,596 minted · as of 10h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 10h ago4.5%unopened
Legendary1 / 28 (3.6%)
0.10 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.12 · 0.8× launch rate
Rare28 / 818 (3.4%)
2.8 per 100 sealed packs · launch 3.6 · 0.8× launch rate
Common2,992 / 66,934 (4.5%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 10h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 1 / 28 | <0.1% | ~1 in 1,007 |
| Rare | 28 / 818 | 0.9% | ~1 in 36 |
| Common | 2,992 / 66,934 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packWhat's Inside
FMV priced 280 of 280 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
LeBron James
Dunk · Nov 16, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$719
Recent Low
$660
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.17%Wt 0.002
Devin Booker
Jump Shot · Aug 4, 2020
So Fresh
RARESeries 1
FMV
$293
Recent Low
$325
Mint 150
Hit 0.03%Wt 0
Steph Curry
Assist · Mar 6, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$250
Recent Low
$235
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.17%Wt 0.002
LeBron James
Dunk · Feb 7, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$166
Recent Low
$121
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.10%Wt 0.001
Dennis Smith Jr.
Dunk · Feb 27, 2020
Lace 'Em Up
LEGENDARYSeries 1
FMV
$134
Recent Low
$149
Mint 75
Hit 0.03%Wt 0
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Dunk · Nov 17, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$82.00
Recent Low
$75.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.20%Wt 0.002
Jayson Tatum
Handles · Nov 21, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$59.00
Recent Low
$50.00
Mint 1,428
Hit 0.17%Wt 0.002
LeBron James
Block · Aug 2, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$46.50
Recent Low
$45.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.17%Wt 0.002
Kyrie Irving
Handles · Oct 27, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$40.50
Recent Low
$39.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.07%Wt 0.001
LeBron James
Dunk · Sep 19, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$21.00
Recent Low
$20.00
Mint 3,113
Hit 0.73%Wt 0.007
Vince Carter
3 Pointer · Mar 11, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$18.00
Recent Low
$18.00
Mint 3,336
Hit 0.46%Wt 0.005
Steph Curry
3 Pointer · Mar 6, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$18.00
Recent Low
$17.00
Mint 3,600
Hit 0.36%Wt 0.004
Luka Dončić
3 Pointer · Aug 23, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$14.00
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 3,524
Hit 0.66%Wt 0.007
Andre Iguodala
Dunk · Aug 4, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$14.00
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.33%Wt 0.003
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · Dec 7, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$13.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 3,999
Hit 0.53%Wt 0.005
Langston Galloway
3 Pointer · Feb 13, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$13.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.26%Wt 0.003
Trae Young
Handles · Nov 6, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 2,978
Hit 0.66%Wt 0.007
Jaylen Brown
Dunk · Aug 2, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.33%Wt 0.003
Joel Embiid
Assist · Oct 28, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 2,987
Hit 0.43%Wt 0.004
Karl-Anthony Towns
Dunk · Feb 1, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$7.50
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 2,983
Hit 0.46%Wt 0.005
Nikola Jokić
Jump Shot · Sep 2, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 3,525
Hit 1.06%Wt 0.011
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Layup · Aug 1, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 2,681
Hit 0.56%Wt 0.006
Ja Morant
Steal · Jan 8, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 3,164
Hit 0.46%Wt 0.005
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Dunk · Aug 20, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 2,489
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.008
