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NBA Top Shot · Pack #977
Series 1 Reserve Pack
Common4 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$344
Actual EV
—
≈ $299 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $344
Typical Pull
$46.68
Grail premium $253 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $344
FMV coverage
100%
38 editions
Depletion
96%
live pool
Packs remaining
238
of 6,109 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 10h ago3.9%unopened
Common952 / 24,433 (3.9%)
Pull odds by tier
4 slots/pack · as of 10h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 952 / 24,433 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 4 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 38 of 38 (100%)LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$750
Floor
$710
Mint 1,000
Hit 6.57%Wt 0.08
Steph Curry
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$247
Floor
$240
Mint 1,000
Hit 3.81%Wt 0.046
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$93.50
Floor
$88.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 3.46%Wt 0.042
Ja Morant
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$72.00
Floor
$60.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.35%Wt 0.004
LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$48.45
Floor
$57.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 6.57%Wt 0.08
Kyrie Irving
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$37.50
Floor
$37.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.69%Wt 0.008
James Harden
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$32.55
Floor
$28.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 5.54%Wt 0.067
Vince Carter
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$18.00
Floor
$15.00
Mint 3,336
Hit 2.08%Wt 0.025
Russell Westbrook
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$17.00
Floor
$20.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 2.42%Wt 0.029
Steph Curry
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$16.19
Floor
$13.00
Mint 3,600
Hit 1.38%Wt 0.017
Langston Galloway
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$15.22
Floor
$12.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 5.54%Wt 0.067
Fred VanVleet
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$14.82
Floor
$12.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 1.38%Wt 0.017
Cam Reddish
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$14.40
Floor
$16.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.013
Luka Dončić
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$13.59
Floor
$11.00
Mint 3,524
Hit 1.38%Wt 0.017
Zion Williamson
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$12.35
Floor
$8.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 1.73%Wt 0.021
Derrick Rose
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$11.67
Floor
$11.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 5.88%Wt 0.071
Jaylen Brown
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$11.59
Floor
$7.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 3.11%Wt 0.038
Serge Ibaka
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$10.20
Floor
$12.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 4.15%Wt 0.05
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$8.72
Floor
$6.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 1.73%Wt 0.021
Kevin Love
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$8.23
Floor
$5.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 1.73%Wt 0.021
Rajon Rondo
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$7.44
Floor
$6.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 4.84%Wt 0.059
Jayson Tatum
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$7.39
Floor
$5.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 2.42%Wt 0.029
Kawhi Leonard
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$6.80
Floor
$8.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 7.96%Wt 0.097
Harry Giles
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$4.44
Floor
$4.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 6.57%Wt 0.08