Super Wild Card Weekend - Pro 30 Yard (Playbook Reward)

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $0.36/pack▼ 91% below the $4.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 96% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $4.00 ask

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$4.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

724

complete open history

Moments pulled

724

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$1.50

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.50

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

96%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.36/packvs realized $0.50 avg · $0.50 median(1.39×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 724 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Tony Pollard · Road to 100	UNCOMMON	100.00%	$0.36	100.0%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Median $0.95 (90d)Last $0.95 · 1mo ago10 sales · 1 in 90d

Pack price

—

No retail price

Actual EV

$0.36

Net −$3.64 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 96% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $4.00 ask

Value ratio

0.09x

-91.0% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 96% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $4.00 ask

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

96%

of all minted packs · as of 1d ago

Packs remaining

of 750 minted · as of 1d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).