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NFL All Day · Pack #1074

Week 16-18 Collect Leaderboard: Patrick Mahomes II Road to 100 (Serials 4-150)

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $56.70/pack▼ 80% below the $289 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $289

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$289] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

140

complete open history

Moments pulled

140

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

95%

of all minted packs

Sealed pack resale

Last $125 · 3y ago6 sales

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$56.70

Net −$232 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $289

Value ratio

0.20x

-80.4% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $289

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

95%

of all minted packs

Packs remaining

of 147 minted

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

live pool

4.8%unopened

7 / 147 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Patrick Mahomes II	Road to 100	RARE	100.00%	$56.70	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.