What's your collection worth?Free, no signup. Total FMV + your top moments.

NFL All Day · Pack #1086

Patrick Mahomes II: Divisional Round Scramble

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $0.95/pack▼ 53% below the $2.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (88% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.00

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$2.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

2,633

complete open history

Moments pulled

2,633

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$6.67

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.95

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

367

still unopened

Opened share

88%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.95/packvs realized $0.95 avg · $1.00 median(1.00×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 2,633 attributed opens

Sealed pack resale

Last $6.00 · 9mo ago288 sales

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$0.95

Net −$1.05 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (88% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.00

Value ratio

0.47x

-52.5% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (88% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.00

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

88%

of all minted packs

Packs remaining

367

of 3,000 minted

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

live pool

12%unopened

367 / 3,000 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Patrick Mahomes II	Divisional Round	COMMON	100.00%	$0.95	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.