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NFL All Day · Pack #1100

Conference Championship - Predict 45 Yard (Playbook Reward)

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $0.29/pack▼ 87% below the $2.25 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.25

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$2.25] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

1,239

complete open history

Moments pulled

1,239

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$0.50

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.25

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

96%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.29/packvs realized $0.25 avg · $0.25 median(0.86×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 1,239 attributed opens

Sealed pack resale

Last $2.00 · 2y ago64 sales

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$0.29

Net −$1.96 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.25

Value ratio

0.13x

-87.1% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.25

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

96%

of all minted packs · as of 9d ago

Packs remaining

of 1,298 minted · as of 9d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

4.5%unopened

59 / 1,298 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Jerome Ford	Road to 100	UNCOMMON	100.00%	$0.29	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.