Playoff Icons Bonus Pack

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $2.88/pack▲ 44% above the $2.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (92% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.00

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$2.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

13,769

complete open history

Moments pulled

13,769

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$4.26

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.47

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

1,231

still unopened

Opened share

92%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $2.88/packvs realized $0.47 avg · $0.30 median(0.16×)

Model over-values vs actual pulls · 13,769 attributed opens

Sealed pack resale

Last $3.00 · 4mo ago2,405 sales

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$2.88

Net +$0.88 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (92% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.00

Value ratio

1.44x

44.0% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (92% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.00

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

92%

of all minted packs

Packs remaining

1,232

of 15,000 minted

⚠ Rough estimate. EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers). ~95% of pack value rests on sparse or missing sales data — treat as a rough estimate.