Pro Bowl - Pro 25 Yards (Playbook Reward)

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $0.36/pack▼ 88% below the $3.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.00 ask

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$3.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

537

complete open history

Moments pulled

537

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$0.58

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.58

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

97%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.36/packvs realized $0.58 avg · $0.58 median(1.61×)

Model under-values vs actual pulls · 537 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Jahlani Tavai · Road to 100	UNCOMMON	100.00%	$0.36	100.0%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Median $0.80 (90d)Last $0.80 · 2mo ago15 sales · 1 in 90d

Pack price

—

No retail price

Actual EV

$0.36

Net −$2.64 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.00 ask

Value ratio

0.12x

-88.0% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.00 ask

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

97%

of all minted packs · as of 130d ago

Packs remaining

of 552 minted · as of 130d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).