What's your collection worth?Free, no signup. Total FMV + your top moments.

NFL All Day · Pack #1156

Joe Montana - Playoff Game Changers (Locking Reward)

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $81.00/pack▼ 74% below the $314 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $314

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$314] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

175

complete open history

Moments pulled

175

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

97%

of all minted packs

Sealed pack resale

Last $199 · 2y ago4 sales

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$81.00

Net −$233 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $314

Value ratio

0.26x

-74.2% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $314

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

97%

of all minted packs

Packs remaining

of 181 minted

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

live pool

3.3%unopened

6 / 181 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

RareHit 100.00%

Joe Montana

Playoff Game Changers

$81.00

What's Inside

pullable editions

Joe Montana

Playoff Game Changers

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Joe Montana	Playoff Game Changers	RARE	100.00%	$81.00	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.