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NFL All Day · Pack #1438

AFC South Vintage Legendary

Premium

Value still sealed≈ $8.81/pack▼ 99% below the $598 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $4.00

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$598] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

complete open history

Moments pulled

240

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

91%

of all minted packs

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Warren Moon · Titans Vintage	LEGENDARY	1.40%	$72.90	33.8%
Maurice Jones-Drew · Jaguars Vintage	LEGENDARY	1.40%	$26.10	12.1%
Bob Sanders · Colts Vintage	LEGENDARY	1.40%	$19.00	8.8%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $305 · 2y agoRetail $29926 sales

Pack price

$598

Actual EV

$8.81

Mean pull · Net −$589 vs ask

Typical Pull

$4.00

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.01x

-98.5% margin

FMV coverage

100%

12 editions

Depletion

91%

of all minted packs · as of 129d ago

Packs remaining

of 66 minted · as of 129d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers). ~100% of pack value rests on sparse or missing sales data.

Packs Content Remaining

pool

9.1%unopened

6 / 66 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 12 of 12 (100%)

Warren Moon

Player Melt · Nov 18, 1990

Player Melt · Dec 10, 2006

Player Melt · Feb 4, 2007

Player Melt · Sep 10, 2000

Player Melt · Nov 9, 2003

Interception · Oct 3, 2004

Reception · Sep 21, 2009

Reception · Sep 7, 2008

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 10 of 12

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Mark Brunell	Jaguars Vintage	RARE	1.52%	$1.00	—
Domanick Williams	Texans Vintage	RARE	1.52%	$1.00	—
Joseph Addai	Colts Vintage	RARE	1.52%	$1.20	—
Chris Johnson	Titans Vintage	RARE	1.52%	$0.75	—
Dallas Clark	Colts Vintage	RARE	1.52%	$0.99	—
Dunta Robinson	Texans Vintage	RARE	1.52%	$1.00	—
Jimmy Smith	Jaguars Vintage	RARE	1.52%	$1.50	—
Earl Campbell	Titans Vintage	RARE	1.52%	$2.00	—
Maurice Jones-Drew	Jaguars Vintage	LEGENDARY	0.18%	$26.10	—
Warren Moon	Titans Vintage	LEGENDARY	0.18%	$72.90	—

Edition EV = FMV × (its share of the pool's drop weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Computed Nov 5, 2026, 5:37 PM PT.