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NFL All Day · Pack #148

Bud Light Pick ‘Em Reward Pack (Series 2, Release 6)

Premium3 slots

Value still sealed≈ $1.97/pack▼ 94% below the $35.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 77% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $35.00 ask

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$35.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

complete open history

Moments pulled

276

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

77%

of all minted packs

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Baker Mayfield · Base	COMMON	2.69%	$0.72	7.6%
Julio Jones · Base	COMMON	2.69%	$0.69	7.3%
Harrison Butker · Base	COMMON	2.69%	$0.41	4.3%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Pack price

—

No retail price

Actual EV

$1.97

Net −$33.03 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 77% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $35.00 ask

Value ratio

0.06x

-94.4% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 77% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $35.00 ask

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

77%

of all minted packs · as of 129d ago

Packs remaining

of 120 minted · as of 129d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by published pack odds (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

23%unopened

28 / 120 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Baker Mayfield	Base	COMMON	2.69%	$0.72	$0.06
Julio Jones	Base	COMMON	2.69%	$0.69	$0.06
Harrison Butker	Base	COMMON	2.69%	$0.41	$0.03
Alvin Kamara	Base	COMMON	2.69%	$0.34	$0.03
D'Andre Swift	Base	COMMON	2.69%	$0.29	$0.02
Mac Jones	Base	COMMON	2.69%	$0.29	$0.02
Chris Olave	Base	COMMON	2.69%	$0.25	$0.02
Mack Hollins	Base	COMMON	2.69%	$0.25	$0.02
Hunter Henry	Base	COMMON	2.69%	$0.25	$0.02
Brandin Echols	Base	COMMON	2.69%	$0.25	$0.02

Bud Light Pick ‘Em Reward Pack (Series 2, Release 6)

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV