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NFL All Day · Pack #149

Standard (Series 2, Playoff Push)

Standard10 slots

Value still sealed≈ $3.29/pack▼ 98% below the $199 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $1.80

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$199] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

9,777

complete open history

Moments pulled

97,770

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$16.40

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$3.28

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

223

still unopened

Opened share

98%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $3.29/packvs realized $3.28 avg · $2.83 median(1.00×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 9,777 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Kansas City Chiefs · Banner Year	RARE	0.13%	$16.00	7.4%
Cam Akers · Locked In	RARE	0.64%	$2.50	5.6%

Sealed pack resale

Last $200 · 3y agoRetail $69.00112 sales

Pack price

$199

Actual EV

$3.29

Mean pull · Net −$196 vs ask

Typical Pull

$1.80

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.02x

-98.3% margin

FMV coverage

98%

40 editions

Depletion

98%

of all minted packs · as of 129d ago

Packs remaining

223

of 10,000 minted · as of 129d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by published pack odds (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

2.2%unopened

223 / 10,000 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 39 of 40 (98%)

Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Kansas City Chiefs	Banner Year	RARE	0.00%	$16.00	<$0.01
Cam Akers	Locked In	RARE	0.00%	$2.50	<$0.01
Chris Olave	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.25	<$0.01
Christian Watson	Rookie Revelation	LEGENDARY	0.00%	$25.00	<$0.01
Derek Stingley Jr.	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.20	<$0.01
Raheem Mostert	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.19	<$0.01
Xavien Howard	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.18	<$0.01
Marcus Mariota	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.18	<$0.01
Terrace Marshall Jr.	Move the Chains	COMMON	0.01%	$0.30	<$0.01
Trevor Lawrence	Locked In	RARE	0.00%	$1.50	<$0.01

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Kansas City Chiefs	Banner Year	RARE	0.00%	$16.00	<$0.01
Cam Akers	Locked In	RARE	0.00%	$2.50	<$0.01
Chris Olave	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.25	<$0.01
Christian Watson	Rookie Revelation	LEGENDARY	0.00%	$25.00	<$0.01
Derek Stingley Jr.	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.20	<$0.01
Raheem Mostert	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.19	<$0.01
Xavien Howard	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.18	<$0.01
Marcus Mariota	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.18	<$0.01
Terrace Marshall Jr.	Move the Chains	COMMON	0.01%	$0.30	<$0.01
Trevor Lawrence	Locked In	RARE	0.00%	$1.50	<$0.01

Standard (Series 2, Playoff Push)

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV