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NFL All Day · Pack #1509

Shaun Alexander - Vintage Vault (Locking Reward)

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $137/pack▼ 66% below the $399 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $399

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$399] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

complete open history

Moments pulled

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

96%

of all minted packs

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$137

Net −$262 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $399

Value ratio

0.34x

-65.7% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $399

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

96%

of all minted packs · as of 84d ago

Packs remaining

of 23 minted · as of 84d ago

⚠ Rough estimate. EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers). ~100% of pack value rests on sparse or missing sales data — treat as a rough estimate.

Packs Content Remaining

pool

4.3%unopened

1 / 23 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Shaun Alexander	Vintage Vault	LEGENDARY	100.00%	$137	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.