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NFL All Day · Pack #172

Starter Pack (Series 2, Release 2)

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $0.65/pack▼ 91% below the $7.00 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $0.60

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$7.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

19,567

complete open history

Moments pulled

58,701

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$4.29

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.72

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

433

still unopened

Opened share

98%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.65/packvs realized $0.72 avg · $0.70 median(1.11×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 19,567 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Baker Mayfield · Base	COMMON	2.67%	$0.72	7.3%
Trevor Lawrence · Base	COMMON	2.67%	$0.67	6.8%

Sealed pack resale

Last $6.00 · 2y agoRetail $10.0020,422 sales

Pack price

$7.00

Actual EV

$0.65

Mean pull · Net −$6.35 vs ask

Typical Pull

$0.60

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.09x

-90.7% margin

FMV coverage

100%

40 editions

Depletion

98%

of all minted packs · as of 129d ago

Packs remaining

433

of 20,000 minted · as of 129d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by published pack odds (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

2.2%unopened

433 / 20,000 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Derek Carr	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.20	—
Romeo Doubs	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.19	—
Jalen Reeves-Maybin	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.17	—
Albert Okwuegbunam	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.25	—
Ben Skowronek	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.38	—
Brandon McManus	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.38	—
Joe Schobert	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.18	—
Chase Claypool	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.18	—
Baker Mayfield	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.72	—
Jerry Jeudy	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.22	—

Starter Pack (Series 2, Release 2)

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV