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NFL All Day · Pack #208

Road to Super Bowl LVII (Premium)

Premium

Value still sealed≈ $7.99/pack▼ 100% below the $1,650 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $1.90

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$1,650] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

198

complete open history

Moments pulled

1,980

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$99.14

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$99.14

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

99%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $7.99/packvs realized $99.14 avg · $99.14 median(12.41×)

Model under-values vs actual pulls · 198 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Joe Burrow · Playoff	LEGENDARY	0.03%	$359	16.2%
Geno Smith · Playoff	LEGENDARY	0.03%	$350	15.8%

Sealed pack resale

Last $1,550 · 3y agoRetail $699183 sales

Pack price

$1,650

Actual EV

$7.99

Mean pull · Net −$1,642 vs ask

Typical Pull

$1.90

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.00x

-99.5% margin

FMV coverage

100%

49 editions

Depletion

99%

of all minted packs · as of 129d ago

Packs remaining

of 200 minted · as of 129d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers). ~78% of pack value rests on sparse or missing sales data.

Packs Content Remaining

pool

1.0%unopened

2 / 200 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Eli Apple	Playoff	COMMON	0.50%	$0.20	—
CeeDee Lamb	Playoff	COMMON	0.50%	$0.19	—
Dak Prescott	Playoff	COMMON	0.50%	$0.50	—
Austin Ekeler	Playoff	COMMON	0.50%	$0.15	—
J.K. Dobbins	Playoff	COMMON	0.50%	$0.19	—
Zay Jones	Playoff	COMMON	0.50%	$0.20	—
Arik Armstead	Playoff	COMMON	0.50%	$0.19	—
Brock Purdy	Playoff	COMMON	0.50%	$0.75	—
Matt Breida	Playoff	COMMON	0.50%	$0.17	—
Mike Gesicki	Playoff	COMMON	0.50%	$0.15	—

Road to Super Bowl LVII (Premium)

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV