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NFL All Day · Pack #211

Leaderboard Reward: Rare Moments

Premium

Value still sealed≈ $1.50/pack▼ 98% below the $75.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $75.00 ask

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$75.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

181

complete open history

Moments pulled

181

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

95%

of all minted packs

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
George Kittle · Playoff	RARE	6.25%	$5.00	16.6%
Ja'Marr Chase · Playoff	RARE	6.25%	$4.00	13.3%
Travis Kelce · Playoff	RARE	6.25%	$3.59	11.9%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $25.00 · 2y ago13 sales

Pack price

—

No retail price

Actual EV

$1.50

Net −$73.50 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $75.00 ask

Value ratio

0.02x

-98.0% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $75.00 ask

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

95%

of all minted packs · as of 129d ago

Packs remaining

of 190 minted · as of 129d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers). ~100% of pack value rests on sparse or missing sales data.

Packs Content Remaining

pool

4.7%unopened

9 / 190 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
T.J. Hockenson	Playoff	RARE	6.25%	$1.00	—
Dallas Goedert	Playoff	RARE	6.25%	$1.00	—
Kenneth Gainwell	Playoff	RARE	6.25%	$1.00	—
Travis Kelce	Playoff	RARE	6.25%	$3.59	—
Dalton Schultz	Playoff	RARE	6.25%	$2.00	—
Xavien Howard	Playoff	RARE	6.25%	$1.50	—
Dawson Knox	Playoff	RARE	6.25%	$1.69	—
Asante Samuel Jr.	Playoff	RARE	6.25%	$2.00	—
Deommodore Lenoir	Playoff	RARE	6.25%	$1.50	—
Isiah Pacheco	Playoff	RARE	6.25%	$0.75	—

Leaderboard Reward: Rare Moments

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV