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NFL All Day · Pack #247

Draw it Up: Patrick Mahomes II (Series 2)

Premium

Value still sealed≈ $14.83/pack▼ 93% below the $199 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $199

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$199] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

569

complete open history

Moments pulled

569

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

97%

of all minted packs

Sealed pack resale

Last $148 · 2y ago50 sales

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$14.83

Net −$184 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $199

Value ratio

0.07x

-92.5% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $199

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

97%

of all minted packs

Packs remaining

of 585 minted

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

live pool

2.7%unopened

16 / 585 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Patrick Mahomes II	Draw it Up	RARE	100.00%	$14.83	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.