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NFL All Day · Pack #267

Draw it Up: Kirk Cousins (Series 2)

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $1.80/pack▼ 74% below the $7.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $7.00

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$7.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

2,193

complete open history

Moments pulled

2,193

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$4.50

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$4.50

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

97%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $1.80/packvs realized $4.50 avg · $4.50 median(2.50×)

Model under-values vs actual pulls · 2,193 attributed opens

Sealed pack resale

Last $18.00 · 2y ago72 sales

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$1.80

Net −$5.20 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $7.00

Value ratio

0.26x

-74.3% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $7.00

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

97%

of all minted packs · as of 85d ago

Packs remaining

of 2,253 minted · as of 85d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

2.7%unopened

60 / 2,253 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Kirk Cousins	Draw it Up	RARE	100.00%	$1.80	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.