Draw it Up: Brian Robinson Jr. (Series 2)

Premium

Value still sealed≈ $1.34/pack▼ 95% below the $27.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $27.00 ask

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$27.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

1,044

complete open history

Moments pulled

1,044

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$5.25

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$1.31

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

98%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $1.34/packvs realized $1.31 avg · $1.25 median(0.98×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 1,044 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Brian Robinson Jr. · Draw it Up	RARE	100.00%	$1.34	100.0%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $26.00 · 3y ago31 sales

Pack price

—

No retail price

Actual EV

$1.34

Net −$25.66 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $27.00 ask

Value ratio

0.05x

-95.0% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $27.00 ask

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

98%

of all minted packs · as of 39d ago

Packs remaining

of 1,071 minted · as of 39d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).