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NFL All Day · Pack #291

Draw it Up: Brian Robinson Jr. (Series 2)

Premium

Value still sealed≈ $1.00/pack▼ 88% below the $8.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $8.00

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$8.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

1,043

complete open history

Moments pulled

1,043

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$2.55

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.85

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

97%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $1.00/packvs realized $0.85 avg · $0.85 median(0.85×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 1,043 attributed opens

Sealed pack resale

Last $26.00 · 3y ago31 sales

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$1.00

Net −$7.00 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $8.00

Value ratio

0.13x

-87.5% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $8.00

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

97%

of all minted packs · as of 84d ago

Packs remaining

of 1,071 minted · as of 84d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

2.6%unopened

28 / 1,071 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Brian Robinson Jr.	Draw it Up	RARE	100.00%	$1.00	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.