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NFL All Day · Pack #311

Draw it Up: Breece Hall (Series 2)

Premium

Value still sealed≈ $29.50/pack▼ 88% below the $250 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $250

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$250] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

193

complete open history

Moments pulled

193

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$95.48

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$95.48

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

98%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $29.50/packvs realized $95.48 avg · $95.48 median(3.24×)

Model under-values vs actual pulls · 193 attributed opens

Sealed pack resale

Last $168 · 3y ago7 sales

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$29.50

Net −$221 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $250

Value ratio

0.12x

-88.2% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $250

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

98%

of all minted packs

Packs remaining

of 197 minted

⚠ Rough estimate. EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers). ~100% of pack value rests on sparse or missing sales data — treat as a rough estimate.

Packs Content Remaining

live pool

2.0%unopened

4 / 197 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Breece Hall	Draw it Up	RARE	100.00%	$29.50	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.