Legacy: DeAndre Hopkins (Historical 2)

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $0.18/pack▼ 91% below the $2.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $2.00 ask

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$2.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

4,531

complete open history

Moments pulled

4,531

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$2.48

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.19

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

249

still unopened

Opened share

95%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.18/packvs realized $0.19 avg · $0.18 median(1.06×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 4,531 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
DeAndre Hopkins · Legacy	COMMON	100.00%	$0.18	100.0%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $1.00 · 3mo ago190 sales

Pack price

—

No retail price

Actual EV

$0.18

Net −$1.82 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $2.00 ask

Value ratio

0.09x

-91.0% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $2.00 ask

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

95%

of all minted packs · as of 38d ago

Packs remaining

249

of 4,780 minted · as of 38d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).