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NFL All Day · Pack #337

Legacy: Aaron Donald (Historical 2)

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $0.29/pack▼ 59% below the $0.70 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (94% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $0.70

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$0.70] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

2,952

complete open history

Moments pulled

2,952

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$1.73

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.58

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

179

still unopened

Opened share

94%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.29/packvs realized $0.58 avg · $0.72 median(2.00×)

Model under-values vs actual pulls · 2,952 attributed opens

Sealed pack resale

Median $1.00 (90d)Last $1.00 · 16d ago144 sales · 1 in 90d

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$0.29

Net −$0.41 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (94% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $0.70

Value ratio

0.41x

-58.6% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (94% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $0.70

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

94%

of all minted packs

Packs remaining

180

of 3,131 minted

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

live pool

5.7%unopened

180 / 3,131 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

Top purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@MiddleChild1105	$1.00	5d ago

Recent purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@MiddleChild1105	$1.00	5d ago

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Aaron Donald	Legacy	COMMON	100.00%	$0.29	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.