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NFL All Day · Pack #337

Legacy: Aaron Donald (Historical 2)

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $0.20/pack▼ 90% below the $2.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (94% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.00

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$2.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

2,953

complete open history

Moments pulled

2,953

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$0.80

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.20

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

178

still unopened

Opened share

94%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.20/packvs realized $0.20 avg · $0.20 median(1.00×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 2,953 attributed opens

Sealed pack resale

Median $0.88 (90d)Last $1.00 · 29d ago147 sales · 4 in 90d

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$0.20

Net −$1.80 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (94% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.00

Value ratio

0.10x

-90.0% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (94% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.00

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

94%

of all minted packs · as of 21d ago

Packs remaining

178

of 3,131 minted · as of 21d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

5.7%unopened

178 / 3,131 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

Top purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@MakatiNBAcardz	$1.00	9d ago
@MiddleChild1105	$1.00	51d ago
@MakatiNBAcardz	$0.75	9d ago
@DapperLabsOfficialQA1	$0.60	32d ago

Recent purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@MakatiNBAcardz	$1.00	9d ago
@MakatiNBAcardz	$0.75	9d ago
@DapperLabsOfficialQA1	$0.60	32d ago
@MiddleChild1105	$1.00

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Aaron Donald	Legacy	COMMON	100.00%	$0.20	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.