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NFL All Day · Pack #3775

Spark of Greatness Quick Rips

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $0.41/pack▼ 80% below the $2.00 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $0.34

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$2.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

8,406

complete open history

Moments pulled

16,812

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$20.38

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$1.57

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

794

still unopened

Opened share

91%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.41/packvs realized $1.57 avg · $1.18 median(3.83×)

Model under-values vs actual pulls · 8,406 attributed opens

Sealed pack resale

Last $2.00 · 7mo agoRetail $5.002,267 sales

Pack price

$5.00

Actual EV

$0.41

Mean pull · Net −$1.59 vs ask

Typical Pull

$0.34

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.20x

-79.5% margin

FMV coverage

98%

49 editions

Depletion

91%

of all minted packs

Packs remaining

794

of 9,200 minted

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Mack Hollins	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.15	—
Ezekiel Elliott	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.17	—
Jacoby Brissett	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.24

Buyer	Sale price	When
@Mlg1330	$3.00	52d ago
@Mlg1330	$3.00	100d ago

Buyer	Sale price	When
@Mlg1330	$3.00	52d ago
@Mlg1330	$3.00	100d ago

Buyer	Sale price	When
@Mlg1330	$3.00	52d ago
@Mlg1330	$3.00	100d ago

Buyer	Sale price	When
@Mlg1330	$3.00	52d ago
@Mlg1330	$3.00	100d ago

Spark of Greatness Quick Rips

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Sales History

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Sales History

Top pulls by EV