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NFL All Day · Pack #3775

Spark of Greatness Quick Rips

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $0.27/pack▼ 91% below the $3.00 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $0.24

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$3.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

8,407

complete open history

Moments pulled

16,814

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$5.19

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.65

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

793

still unopened

Opened share

91%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.27/packvs realized $0.65 avg · $0.30 median(2.41×)

Model under-values vs actual pulls · 8,407 attributed opens

Sealed pack resale

Median $2.00 (90d)Last $2.00 · 3mo agoRetail $5.002,268 sales · 1 in 90d

trades 0.40× retail — secondary discount

Pack price

$5.00

Actual EV

$0.27

Mean pull · Net −$2.73 vs ask

Typical Pull

$0.24

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.09x

-91.0% margin

FMV coverage

98%

49 editions

Depletion

91%

of all minted packs · as of 21d ago

Packs remaining

793

of 9,200 minted · as of 21d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Buyer	Sale price	When
@Mlg1330	$3.00	99d ago
@Mlg1330	$3.00	147d ago
@MakatiNBAcardz	$2.00	8d ago

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Mack Hollins	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.12	—
Ezekiel Elliott	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.10	—
Jacoby Brissett	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.10

Spark of Greatness Quick Rips

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