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NFL All Day · Pack #3910

Jacksonville Jaguars - 2024 Release

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $0.30/pack▼ 90% below the $3.00 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $0.30

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$3.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

1,615

complete open history

Moments pulled

3,230

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$6.33

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.37

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

12,885

still unopened

Opened share

11%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.30/packvs realized $0.37 avg · $0.36 median(1.23×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 1,615 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Ja'Marr Chase · Base	COMMON	2.66%	$0.22	3.8%
Sam Darnold · Base	COMMON	2.66%	$0.22	3.8%

Sealed pack resale

Median $2.00 (90d)Last $2.00 · 2mo agoRetail $2.0078 sales · 1 in 90d

trades ~1.00× retail

Pack price

$3.00

Actual EV

$0.30

Mean pull · Net −$2.70 vs ask

Typical Pull

$0.30

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.10x

-90.0% margin

FMV coverage

100%

40 editions

Depletion

11%

of all minted packs · as of 129d ago

Packs remaining

12,885

of 14,500 minted · as of 129d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

89%unopened

12,885 / 14,500 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
D'Ernest Johnson	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.15	—
Zay Flowers	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.15	—
A.J. Brown

Jacksonville Jaguars - 2024 Release

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV