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NFL All Day · Pack #3948

Chicago Bears - Souvenir Pack (10/06/2024)

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $4.50/pack▼ 95% below the $99.00 secondary ask

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$99.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

352

complete open history

Moments pulled

352

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$4.50

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$4.50

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

2,248

still unopened

Opened share

14%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $4.50/packvs realized $4.50 avg · $4.50 median(1.00×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 352 attributed opens

Sealed pack resale

Last $35.00 · 2y ago3 sales

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$4.50

Mean pull · Net −$94.50 vs ask

Value ratio

0.05x

-95.5% margin

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

14%

of all minted packs · as of 9d ago

Packs remaining

2,248

of 2,600 minted · as of 9d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

86%unopened

2,248 / 2,600 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Chicago Bears	Souvenir	COMMON	100.00%	$4.50	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.