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NFL All Day · Pack #4044

CHASE THE TOP PLAY FROM SUNDAY (10/27/24)

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $0.86/pack▼ 91% below the $10.00 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $0.75

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$10.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

1,783

complete open history

Moments pulled

8,915

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

99%

of all minted packs

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Brock Bowers · Rookie Marquee	ULTIMATE	<0.01%	$1,500	8.9%
Maxx Crosby · Base	COMMON	0.78%	$0.43	1.9%
Micah Parsons · Base	COMMON	0.78%	$0.22	1.0%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $9.00 · 2y agoRetail $5.00444 sales

Pack price

$10.00

Actual EV

$0.86

Mean pull · Net −$9.14 vs ask

Typical Pull

$0.75

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.09x

-91.4% margin

FMV coverage

100%

154 editions

Depletion

99%

of all minted packs · as of 130d ago

Packs remaining

of 1,800 minted · as of 130d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

0.9%unopened

17 / 1,800 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 154 of 154 (100%)

Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Alex Singleton	Base	COMMON	0.06%	$0.15	—
Rachaad White	Base	COMMON	0.06%	$0.15	—
Chase Brown	Base	COMMON	0.06%	$0.20	—
Joey Bosa	Base	COMMON	0.06%	$0.14	—
Travis Etienne	Base	COMMON	0.06%	$0.15	—
Khalil Herbert	Base	COMMON	0.06%	$0.14	—
Micah Parsons	Base	COMMON	0.06%	$0.22	—
Stefon Diggs	Base	COMMON	0.06%	$0.14	—
D'Andre Swift	Base	COMMON	0.06%	$0.17	—
Aaron Jones	Base	COMMON	0.06%	$0.14	—

CHASE THE TOP PLAY FROM SUNDAY (10/27/24)

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV