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NFL All Day · Pack #4080

Demarcus Lawrence - Defensive Gems (Locking Reward)

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $1.00/pack▼ 92% below the $12.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $12.00

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$12.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

149

complete open history

Moments pulled

149

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$1.70

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$1.70

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

97%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $1.00/packvs realized $1.70 avg · $1.70 median(1.70×)

Model under-values vs actual pulls · 149 attributed opens

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$1.00

Net −$11.00 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $12.00

Value ratio

0.08x

-91.7% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $12.00

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

97%

of all minted packs

Packs remaining

of 154 minted

⚠ Rough estimate. EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers). ~100% of pack value rests on sparse or missing sales data — treat as a rough estimate.

Packs Content Remaining

live pool

3.2%unopened

5 / 154 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Demarcus Lawrence	Defensive Gems	RARE	100.00%	$1.00	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.