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NFL All Day · Pack #4081

Nick Bolton - Defensive Gems (Locking Reward)

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $1.00/pack▼ 96% below the $24.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $24.00

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$24.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

148

complete open history

Moments pulled

148

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

97%

of all minted packs

Sealed pack resale

Last $18.00 · 2y ago3 sales

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$1.00

Net −$23.00 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $24.00

Value ratio

0.04x

-95.8% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $24.00

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

97%

of all minted packs · as of 84d ago

Packs remaining

of 152 minted · as of 84d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

2.6%unopened

4 / 152 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Nick Bolton	Defensive Gems	RARE	100.00%	$1.00	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.