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NFL All Day · Pack #4124

CHASE THE TOP PLAY FROM SUNDAY (11/03/24)

Common

Value still sealed≈ $1.09/pack▼ 96% below the $25.00 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $0.75

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$25.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

1,392

complete open history

Moments pulled

6,960

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

99%

of all minted packs

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Bo Nix · Rookie Marquee	ULTIMATE	<0.01%	$2,700	10.6%
Saquon Barkley · Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	<0.01%	$255	4.9%
Malik Nabers · Regal Rookies	RARE	0.02%	$49.50	3.9%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $39.00 · 2y agoRetail $10.00736 sales

Pack price

$25.00

Actual EV

$1.09

Mean pull · Net −$23.91 vs ask

Typical Pull

$0.75

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.04x

-95.6% margin

FMV coverage

100%

180 editions

Depletion

99%

of all minted packs · as of 130d ago

Packs remaining

of 1,400 minted · as of 130d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

0.6%unopened

8 / 1,400 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 180 of 180 (100%)

Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Joey Bosa	Base	COMMON	0.07%	$0.14	—
Alex Singleton	Base	COMMON	0.07%	$0.15	—
Chase Brown	Base	COMMON	0.07%	$0.20	—
Aaron Jones	Base	COMMON	0.07%	$0.14	—
Rachaad White	Base	COMMON	0.07%	$0.15	—
Derwin James	Base	COMMON	0.07%	$0.15	—
Ivan Pace	Base	COMMON	0.07%	$0.16	—
Donte Jackson	Base	COMMON	0.07%	$0.14	—
Stefon Diggs	Base	COMMON	0.07%	$0.14	—
Tutu Atwell	Base	COMMON	0.07%	$0.14	—

CHASE THE TOP PLAY FROM SUNDAY (11/03/24)

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV