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NFL All Day · Pack #4186

Holo Icon November

Legendary

Value still sealed≈ $56.39/pack▼ 57% below the $131 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $6.00

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$131] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

290

complete open history

Moments pulled

870

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

94%

of all minted packs

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Drake Maye · Rookie Marquee	ULTIMATE	0.20%	$3,300	28.7%
Bo Nix · Rookie Marquee	ULTIMATE	0.20%	$2,700	23.5%
Saquon Barkley · Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	0.97%	$255	10.9%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $625 · 2y agoRetail $49976 sales

Pack price

$131

Actual EV

$56.39

Mean pull · Net −$74.61 vs ask

Typical Pull

$6.00

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.43x

-57.0% margin

FMV coverage

100%

35 editions

Depletion

94%

of all minted packs · as of 129d ago

Packs remaining

of 310 minted · as of 129d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

6.5%unopened

20 / 310 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 35 of 35 (100%)

Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Rhamondre Stevenson	Metallic Gold LE	RARE	0.32%	$0.85	—
Joe Burrow	Metallic Gold LE	RARE	0.32%	$5.50	—
Mike Evans	Metallic Gold LE	RARE	0.32%	$1.75	—
Terry McLaurin	Metallic Gold LE	RARE	0.32%	$1.00	—
A.J. Brown	Metallic Gold LE	RARE	0.32%	$0.85	—
Tucker Kraft	Metallic Gold LE	RARE	0.32%	$4.50	—
George Kittle	Metallic Gold LE	RARE	0.32%	$1.06	—
DeVonta Smith	Metallic Gold LE	RARE	0.32%	$2.00	—
Jordan Addison	Metallic Gold LE	RARE	0.32%	$2.00	—
Tee Higgins	Metallic Gold LE	RARE	0.32%	$2.00	—

Holo Icon November

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV