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NFL All Day · Pack #424

Standard (Series 2, Playbook Reward)

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $0.17/pack▼ 86% below the $1.20 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $1.20

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$1.20] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

3,547

complete open history

Moments pulled

3,547

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$0.13

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.13

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

147

still unopened

Opened share

96%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.17/packvs realized $0.13 avg · $0.13 median(0.77×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 3,547 attributed opens

Sealed pack resale

Median $1.00 (90d)Last $1.00 · 3mo ago118 sales · 1 in 90d

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$0.17

Net −$1.03 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $1.20

Value ratio

0.14x

-85.8% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $1.20

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

96%

of all minted packs · as of 84d ago

Packs remaining

147

of 3,694 minted · as of 84d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

4.0%unopened

147 / 3,694 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

Heroes and Heartbreakers

Heroes and Heartbreakers

What's Inside

pullable editions

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Curtis Samuel	Base	COMMON	1.16%	$0.15	—
Samaje Perine	Base	COMMON	1.16%	$0.15	—
Dameon Pierce	Base	COMMON	1.16%	$0.13