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NFL All Day · Pack #4248

CHASE THE TOP PLAY FROM SUNDAY (11/17/24)

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $1.08/pack▼ 97% below the $37.00 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $0.75

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$37.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

4,013

complete open history

Moments pulled

20,065

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$7.61

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.85

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

98%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $1.08/packvs realized $0.85 avg · $0.77 median(0.79×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 4,013 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Drake Maye · Rookie Marquee	ULTIMATE	<0.01%	$3,300	10.4%
Saquon Barkley · Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	<0.01%	$255	3.9%
Malik Nabers

Sealed pack resale

Last $25.00 · 1y agoRetail $10.001,641 sales

Pack price

$37.00

Actual EV

$1.08

Mean pull · Net −$35.92 vs ask

Typical Pull

$0.75

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.03x

-97.1% margin

FMV coverage

100%

231 editions

Depletion

98%

of all minted packs · as of 130d ago

Packs remaining

of 4,100 minted · as of 130d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

2.1%unopened

87 / 4,100 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 231 of 231 (100%)

Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Harold Landry	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.15	—
Ivan Pace	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.16	—
Kyle Pitts	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.13	—
Christian Watson	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.13	—
Dalton Kincaid	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.14	—
Jamin Davis	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.16	—
Karl Brooks	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.15	—
Jahmyr Gibbs	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.16	—
Kyle Hamilton	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.13	—
Rashan Gary	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.13	—

CHASE THE TOP PLAY FROM SUNDAY (11/17/24)

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV