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NFL All Day · Pack #433

Standard (Series 2, Playbook Reward

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $1.61/pack▼ 84% below the $10.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $10.00

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$10.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

1,654

complete open history

Moments pulled

1,654

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

97%

of all minted packs

Sealed pack resale

Last $21.00 · 2y ago172 sales

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$1.61

Net −$8.39 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $10.00

Value ratio

0.16x

-83.9% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $10.00

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

97%

of all minted packs

Packs remaining

of 1,702 minted

⚠ Rough estimate. EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers). ~90% of pack value rests on sparse or missing sales data — treat as a rough estimate.

Packs Content Remaining

live pool

2.8%unopened

48 / 1,702 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Patrick Peterson	Locked In	RARE	2.66%	$1.00	—
Mecole Hardman	Locked In	RARE	2.66%	$1.00	—
Budda Baker	Locked In	RARE	2.66%	$1.50	—
Jerry Jeudy	Locked In	RARE	2.66%	$1.20	—
Cam Akers	Locked In	RARE	2.66%	$0.90	—
CeeDee Lamb	Locked In	RARE	2.66%	$1.79	—
Trevor Lawrence	Locked In	RARE	2.66%	$1.80	—
Jahan Dotson	Locked In	RARE	2.66%	$1.28	—
Russell Wilson	Locked In	RARE	2.66%	$1.00	—
Kerby Joseph	Locked In	RARE	2.66%	$1.80	—