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NFL All Day · Pack #4340

Holo Icon Premium - December

Premium

Value still sealed≈ $1.12/pack▼ 100% below the $239 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $0.90

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$239] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

3,084

complete open history

Moments pulled

18,504

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$3.64

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$3.64

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

97%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $1.12/packvs realized $3.64 avg · $3.64 median(3.25×)

Model under-values vs actual pulls · 3,084 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Drake Maye · Rookie Marquee	ULTIMATE	<0.01%	$3,300	11.2%
Josh Allen · Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	<0.01%	$105	1.8%
Jalen Hurts

Sealed pack resale

Last $239 · 1y agoRetail $39.00806 sales

Pack price

$239

Actual EV

$1.12

Mean pull · Net −$238 vs ask

Typical Pull

$0.90

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.00x

-99.5% margin

FMV coverage

100%

286 editions

Depletion

97%

of all minted packs · as of 66d ago

Packs remaining

of 3,168 minted · as of 66d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

2.7%unopened

84 / 3,168 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 286 of 286 (100%)

Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Christian Watson	Base	COMMON	0.03%	$0.13	—
Kyle Hamilton	Base	COMMON	0.03%	$0.13	—
Dalton Kincaid	Base	COMMON	0.03%	$0.14	—
Rashan Gary	Base	COMMON	0.03%	$0.13	—
Geno Smith	Base	COMMON	0.03%	$0.14	—
Karl Brooks	Base	COMMON	0.03%	$0.15	—
Nolan Smith	Base	COMMON	0.03%	$0.15	—
Jordan Love	Base	COMMON	0.03%	$0.16	—
Khalil Mack	Base	COMMON	0.03%	$0.15	—
De'Von Achane	Base	COMMON	0.03%	$0.16	—

Holo Icon Premium - December

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV