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NFL All Day · Pack #4455

Standard Rookie Revelation

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $2.57/pack▼ 88% below the $21.00 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $1.70

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$21.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

9,807

complete open history

Moments pulled

98,070

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$5.59

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$5.59

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

393

still unopened

Opened share

96%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $2.57/packvs realized $5.59 avg · $5.59 median(2.17×)

Model under-values vs actual pulls · 9,807 attributed opens

Sealed pack resale

Last $22.00 · 9mo agoRetail $14.002,491 sales

Pack price

$14.00

Actual EV

$2.57

Mean pull · Net −$18.43 vs ask

Typical Pull

$1.70

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.12x

-87.8% margin

FMV coverage

98%

410 editions

Depletion

96%

of all minted packs

Packs remaining

393

of 10,200 minted

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

live pool

3.9%unopened

393 / 10,200 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 402 of 410 (98%)

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 10 of 410

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Sam Darnold	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.21	—
Cole Kmet	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.10	—
Aidan Hutchinson	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.16	—
Quinn Meinerz	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.18	—
Kyle Pitts	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.18	—
Bryan Cook	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.19	—
Amani Hooker	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.26	—
Nolan Smith	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.27	—
Ray-Ray McCloud	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.22	—
Karl Brooks	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.20	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/4/2026, 5:38:42 PM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.